inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 69 Excitement1.5 [1311] MVPDonovan Mitchell (UTA): +6.5%
Utah Jazz 116 Comeback1.1 [842] LVPBradley Beal (WAS): -8.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Frazier0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.001125%0.022-0.012100%0.00
Chris McCullough0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07719%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jason Smith-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00955%0.002-0.002100%-0.00
Tomas Satoransky-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.00650%-0.0110.004100%-0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.001100%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Jodie Meeks-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.07922%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00846%-0.0320.00887%0.01
Marcin Gortat-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.10-0.00-0.0740%-0.032-0.0000%0.00
Mike Scott-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.0240%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Otto Porter Jr.-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.050.000.101354%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.021531%-0.071-0.01560%-0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.000.031375%0.073-0.002100%0.00
Raul Neto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00567%0.0600.00250%0.00
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.260.000.211384%0.0400.006100%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.04675%0.0300.0000%0.00
Royce O'Neale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.100.000.085110%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01750%0.011-0.00475%-0.01
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04692%0.013-0.0000%0.00
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.04450%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.100.00-0.08625%-0.013-0.01450%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04743%-0.003-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.41.829.414.630.02.424.7125.3
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +41.3%
UTA +2.1%
UTA +4.5%
UTA +2.3%
WAS -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASUTANBAWASUTANBA
this game16.814.914.776.7126.1107.5
season14.815.1108.2106.6
opponent14.614.7103.3107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS19.219.112.217.116.8
UTA15.114.517.112.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris McCullough18190.00-0.500.500.26-9-382917.316.60.7212.615.5-2.94
Jason Smith1010-0.00-0.500.500.14-5-423714.417.0-2.6513.515.1-1.59
Markieff Morris4242-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-423715.218.1-2.8517.812.55.24
Tim Frazier3737-0.11-0.390.270.12-8-393115.517.6-2.0617.713.04.67
Marcin Gortat4646-0.17-0.330.160.33-17-301315.518.0-2.5216.513.33.17
Mike Scott3839-0.19-0.310.120.57-26-21-517.915.92.0612.616.6-3.94
Bradley Beal5253-0.22-0.280.070.34-19-28915.418.6-3.1116.812.34.52
Otto Porter Jr.5253-0.31-0.19-0.120.31-21-26515.917.9-2.0616.612.63.94
Tomas Satoransky4546-0.32-0.18-0.150.61-32-15-1718.015.52.4912.917.0-4.09
Ian Mahinmi1617-0.33-0.17-0.160.14-16-311521.115.85.3114.115.1-1.05
Jodie Meeks4244-0.35-0.15-0.200.68-35-12-2318.415.33.0512.317.3-4.93
Kelly Oubre Jr.5254-0.39-0.11-0.280.84-42-5-3717.815.42.4012.718.0-5.26

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alec Burks52510.370.130.24-0.5732151714.315.7-1.3517.515.81.70
Royce O'Neale48460.350.150.20-0.6835122312.917.2-4.3018.115.42.72
Thabo Sefolosha22210.340.160.18-0.422621512.415.7-3.3520.715.65.10
Derrick Favors45450.300.200.10-0.462621515.814.01.7816.916.60.22
Raul Neto38370.270.230.04-0.492621511.317.4-6.0817.816.01.79
Ricky Rubio46450.230.27-0.05-0.512522315.714.11.6116.417.1-0.67
Rudy Gobert41410.220.28-0.07-0.311829-1115.814.21.5616.017.4-1.43
Donovan Mitchell49490.150.35-0.19-0.231334-2117.412.15.2515.518.3-2.82
Jonas Jerebko59570.150.35-0.21-0.472126-515.414.01.4215.818.3-2.49
Joe Ingles43420.130.37-0.23-0.161037-2717.412.74.7015.318.0-2.67
Ekpe Udoh17160.000.50-0.50-0.09344-4111.915.6-3.6516.616.8-0.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 66, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
GSW 82, UTA 1110.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
MEM 66, CHI 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%