NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	6.7 [525]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): +40.1%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	1.5 [734]		LVP	Michael Beasley (NYK): -17.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.40	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4	0.24	0.19	0.03	19	76%	0.41	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.04
Elfrid Payton	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	11	65%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	12	59%	0.13	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Arron Afflalo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	5	30%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	14	53%	0.11	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	11	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	6	7%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.06	0.03	13	68%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	6	54%	0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	7	27%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ron Baker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	13	64%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	10	45%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.08	0.07	19	55%	-0.01	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	29.3	15.4	25.8	1.7	36.3	133.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +33.5%

ORL +15.4%

NYK -5.2%

ORL +7.2%

NYK -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.7	15.5	14.7	106.1	102.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.9		104.2	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		109.3	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	14.0	14.2	13.8	13.7
NYK	15.8	14.8	17.1	14.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	72	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-8	21	13.1	15.5	-2.46	15.7	15.1	0.60
Aaron Gordon	79	79	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-4	13	13.2	15.8	-2.60	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Elfrid Payton	72	72	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	-1	7	12.8	16.1	-3.23	15.6	15.4	0.13
Evan Fournier	79	77	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	1	3	13.0	16.5	-3.54	15.5	15.6	-0.06
Jonathon Simmons	80	80	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	8	-11	13.8	13.5	0.25	15.3	16.5	-1.20
Arron Afflalo	36	35	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.25	1	4	-3	15.2	12.9	2.39	15.8	15.4	0.43
D.J. Augustin	31	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	2	1	15.3	13.0	2.23	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Marreese Speights	20	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	7	-9	15.8	13.2	2.60	15.6	15.5	0.07
Bismack Biyombo	26	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	11	-17	16.1	12.9	3.24	15.3	15.6	-0.27

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	61	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-13	21	15.1	16.3	-1.20	14.0	13.2	0.75
Jarrett Jack	62	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-8	11	14.1	17.9	-3.74	12.6	15.8	-3.16
Frank Ntilikina	29	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	17.7	14.6	3.08	15.6	13.0	2.67
Ron Baker	15	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	16.7	15.3	1.43	14.3	13.6	0.70
Kyle O'Quinn	34	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.5	15.5	-0.08	15.4	12.9	2.53
Lance Thomas	41	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-2	-1	15.4	15.6	-0.27	14.8	12.9	1.88
Ramon Sessions	7	7	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	0	-5	18.7	15.3	3.44	16.3	13.5	2.75
Enes Kanter	63	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	15.7	15.3	0.37	13.1	15.0	-1.86
Courtney Lee	78	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.57	7	-12	19	14.8	18.4	-3.62	13.4	14.7	-1.20
Damyean Dotson	43	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	11	-27	16.9	14.4	2.51	13.3	14.1	-0.78
Michael Beasley	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	1	-7	15.6	15.4	0.27	12.9	14.8	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.26,0.41,0.17,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.33,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.04,0,0.01,0,0	92.9%
SAS 89, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%
CHH 98, VAN 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0	92.4%