NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	6.5 [564]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +26.2%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.5 [993]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -18.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	5	110%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	15	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	56%	0.11	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	16	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Ben Simmons	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.03	0.04	14	47%	-0.03	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.02
Robert Covington	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.06	0.03	13	42%	-0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.23	0.06	0.02	21	72%	0.31	2	-0.05	8	87%	-0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.14	-0.02	11	63%	0.25	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.04	0.04	12	81%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.05	0.06	11	60%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	6	42%	-0.02	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.7	27.0	14.4	26.7	2.6	34.0	133.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.3%

BOS +8.7%

PHI -13.9%

BOS +15.7%

BOS +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	15.9	14.7	100.0	113.7	107.5
season	13.9	15.1		108.1	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.5	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	13.0	14.6	13.7	14.0
BOS	15.3	15.8	16.0	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	19	18	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-16	21	14.3	13.9	0.33	18.2	15.4	2.80
JJ Redick	68	68	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-9	7	13.6	14.8	-1.18	15.6	16.6	-0.97
Dario Saric	70	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-10	9	14.2	13.5	0.72	16.2	15.1	1.09
Richaun Holmes	40	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-7	3	14.0	14.0	-0.04	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Amir Johnson	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	14.6	13.5	1.04	16.0	15.8	0.20
Robert Covington	63	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	14.5	13.1	1.40	16.2	15.3	0.91
Ben Simmons	81	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	14.5	11.6	2.84	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	35	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	2	-15	13.1	14.5	-1.39	14.9	16.5	-1.62
Jerryd Bayless	65	64	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	4	-19	13.1	15.8	-2.66	15.9	15.9	-0.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	67	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-4	19	16.1	15.5	0.61	13.3	15.5	-2.22
Marcus Morris	57	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-2	15	15.9	15.9	-0.04	13.6	14.6	-0.98
Terry Rozier	38	39	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-2	15	16.8	15.3	1.58	14.0	14.0	0.04
Jayson Tatum	54	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	4	3	15.3	16.7	-1.47	14.4	13.4	1.02
Al Horford	67	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	1	9	15.6	16.5	-0.91	14.2	13.5	0.74
Semi Ojeleye	28	31	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	10	-9	17.6	15.2	2.48	15.3	13.4	1.90
Daniel Theis	28	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	10	-9	16.5	15.6	0.91	13.5	14.2	-0.74
Kyrie Irving	65	67	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	9	-7	15.3	17.2	-1.96	13.5	15.1	-1.64
Aron Baynes	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	9	-7	15.1	16.2	-1.04	15.6	13.4	2.21
Jaylen Brown	44	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	20	-29	15.9	15.9	-0.06	13.9	14.1	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NJN 80, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
GSW 103, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.7%