NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	89		Excitement	5.0 [833]		MVP	Carlos Arroyo (ORL): +16.9%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	1.3 [1056]		LVP	Tony Battie (ORL): -12.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.00	12	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Rick Brunson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	16	41%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	48%	0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	15	62%	0.12	6	-0.19	4	75%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	11	72%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	11	70%	0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	4	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	14	68%	0.14	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	16	41%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Kasun	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	33.2	16.4	25.5	2.7	28.3	132.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +24.1%

ORL +2.3%

ORL +16.7%

ORL +7.2%

SEA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ORL	NBA	SEA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.3	16.8	15.6	102.3	117.2	104.4
season	15.0	16.4		108.9	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.8		105.9	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.1	15.3	16.1	18.3	16.3
ORL	12.7	16.0	19.1	20.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	65	65	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-17	21	15.8	17.9	-2.09	17.1	15.8	1.32
Luke Ridnour	64	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-12	11	16.2	16.8	-0.60	16.8	16.5	0.31
Rick Brunson	28	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-3	-7	16.1	16.5	-0.40	16.6	16.8	-0.28
Damien Wilkins	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	16.5	13.8	2.70	16.8	15.8	1.02
Mikki Moore	49	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.09	-14	1	-15	16.3	16.3	0.00	16.1	17.6	-1.46
Chris Wilcox	68	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	4	-21	16.5	15.9	0.51	16.6	17.4	-0.74
Rashard Lewis	79	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.04	-17	4	-21	16.7	12.4	4.37	16.9	15.1	1.84

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	47	47	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.01	22	-9	31	17.4	16.0	1.36	16.8	15.8	0.96
Carlos Arroyo	46	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	3	7	17.7	15.7	1.94	16.6	16.0	0.55
Darko Milicic	41	40	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	5	3	16.2	17.2	-0.97	16.4	16.3	0.10
Pat Garrity	31	31	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	8	-3	17.9	16.1	1.83	16.6	16.2	0.42
Dwight Howard	61	61	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	1	11	16.8	16.8	-0.02	16.4	16.2	0.22
Grant Hill	57	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	10	-7	16.0	18.3	-2.30	16.3	16.4	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	65	63	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	11	-9	16.8	16.5	0.35	16.1	17.0	-0.90
Keyon Dooling	46	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	11	-9	16.1	17.5	-1.47	16.0	16.7	-0.76
Mario Kasun	3	3	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	12	-11	10.7	17.0	-6.31	14.7	16.4	-1.74
Tony Battie	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	13	-13	16.8	16.7	0.15	16.1	16.5	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
SAS 70, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHI 97, BOS 108	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%