NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	113		Excitement	5.7 [707]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +18.6%
Toronto Raptors	126		Comeback	1.1 [1180]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (CHA): -18.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	13	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	57%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	12	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.00	13	64%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	60%	0.03	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	9	48%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	0.00	10	33%	-0.04	5	-0.14	7	100%	0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.28	-0.00	0.10	18	90%	0.27	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.06	0.05	22	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	6	62%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	12	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.0	28.2	14.5	27.4	2.5	28.2	129.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +50.5%

CHA -22.2%

TOR +2.6%

TOR +14.4%

TOR +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	14.7	116.5	129.9	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		108.7	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.5		105.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	14.5	13.8	13.8	14.3
TOR	18.2	13.2	13.9	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Bacon	13	14	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.09	7	-20	27	11.8	14.7	-2.82	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Treveon Graham	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	12.7	14.3	-1.67	14.0	15.4	-1.45
Johnny O'Bryant III	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	12.7	14.3	-1.67	14.0	15.4	-1.45
Marvin Williams	42	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-9	5	14.9	13.9	1.00	15.6	15.2	0.36
Dwight Howard	62	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	-1	-11	14.5	13.8	0.72	15.6	15.0	0.61
Malik Monk	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-10	7	13.2	14.9	-1.71	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Michael Carter-Williams	63	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-3	-7	14.9	13.2	1.71	15.8	14.7	1.12
Nicolas Batum	65	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	14.3	14.3	-0.08	15.8	14.6	1.11
Cody Zeller	32	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	-2	-11	9	13.9	14.5	-0.52	15.1	15.6	-0.44
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	56	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	14.6	13.9	0.75	15.3	15.6	-0.34
Frank Kaminsky	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-4	-5	13.9	14.9	-1.00	15.2	15.6	-0.36
Jeremy Lamb	57	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	4	-21	14.6	13.8	0.87	15.3	15.5	-0.23

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	71	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-2	17	15.7	14.6	1.13	14.4	14.1	0.30
Fred VanVleet	39	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	2	9	15.6	15.2	0.40	13.4	14.8	-1.47
Kyle Lowry	72	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	3	7	15.7	14.6	1.08	14.8	12.9	1.88
Lucas Nogueira	18	18	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	0	13	14.5	15.6	-1.11	13.4	14.5	-1.04
Pascal Siakam	39	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	12	-11	14.2	16.2	-1.96	14.4	14.2	0.20
CJ Miles	35	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	9	-5	14.0	16.2	-2.19	14.4	14.2	0.20
Jonas Valanciunas	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	6	1	17.6	13.7	3.91	14.9	13.8	1.09
Serge Ibaka	58	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	1	11	16.2	14.2	1.96	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Norman Powell	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	17	-21	14.8	15.7	-0.90	13.8	14.6	-0.72
OG Anunoby	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.06	3	10	-7	15.9	15.1	0.81	14.4	14.2	0.25
Jakob Poeltl	37	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	20	-27	13.3	16.7	-3.36	14.0	14.5	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.88,0.8,0.8,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.9,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 78, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	94.9%
IND 94, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
ATL 94, OKC 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.9%