NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	6.2 [617]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +31.5%
Indiana Pacers	121		Comeback	1.4 [920]		LVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): -14.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	6	73%	0.18	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	10	73%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	14	62%	0.16	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	0.00	15	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	17	47%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.02	0.08	8	83%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.04	0.04	11	32%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.10	-0.07	14	93%	0.38	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.09	-0.01	7	83%	0.30	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	13	60%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.02	0.06	13	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	5	90%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.02	0.05	11	69%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	9	11%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	27.2	14.8	28.6	2.5	31.5	130.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.4%

IND +14.0%

ORL -1.7%

IND +5.6%

ORL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	14.7	109.0	121.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		104.2	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.5		106.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.0	15.9	15.3	13.6	14.9
IND	12.7	13.5	14.1	15.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	27	26	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-18	24	15.7	14.6	1.06	12.2	14.5	-2.32
Bismack Biyombo	15	15	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-14	16	18.0	14.4	3.61	13.1	14.0	-0.87
Jonathon Simmons	71	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-13	14	14.4	16.2	-1.75	14.1	13.3	0.81
Terrence Ross	54	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-9	6	14.8	15.1	-0.29	13.5	14.3	-0.76
D.J. Augustin	47	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-6	0	14.5	15.3	-0.83	13.1	14.5	-1.39
Elfrid Payton	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-6	0	15.3	14.5	0.83	14.3	13.3	1.00
Nikola Vucevic	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	1	-14	14.4	16.5	-2.12	14.6	11.7	2.90
Evan Fournier	76	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.08	-20	8	-28	15.5	13.2	2.27	13.7	14.3	-0.60
Aaron Gordon	81	81	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.18	-21	9	-30	14.6	16.3	-1.71	14.2	12.5	1.72

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	65	64	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.03	29	-17	46	14.2	13.2	1.03	16.8	11.6	5.23
Bojan Bogdanovic	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	5	2	14.1	13.0	1.13	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Domantas Sabonis	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	2	8	14.1	13.6	0.45	15.0	14.9	0.12
Darren Collison	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	3	6	12.9	15.3	-2.47	15.0	14.8	0.14
Cory Joseph	65	65	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	10	-8	14.1	13.4	0.72	14.0	16.7	-2.75
Lance Stephenson	51	52	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	12	-12	14.0	13.7	0.35	14.1	15.9	-1.78
Myles Turner	63	61	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	11	-10	13.5	14.4	-0.89	15.7	13.8	1.90
Thaddeus Young	64	63	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	10	-8	13.9	13.9	0.01	14.3	16.0	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,1	93.8%
HOU 79, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.7%
WAS 97, CHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.96,1	93.6%