NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	4.3 [977]		MVP	Brandon Ingram (LAL): +16.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	1.3 [622]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -12.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.17	0.03	0.06	16	74%	0.14	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dillon Brooks	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.01	6	81%	0.14	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Brandan Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.09	-0.02	0.08	17	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Ennis III	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	7	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	18	39%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.03	-0.04	14	59%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	10	57%	0.07	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	14	62%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	68%	0.08	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	11	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	13	31%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	27.3	14.6	27.3	2.4	36.6	133.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.0%

LAL +6.4%

LAL +16.6%

MEM -2.1%

MEM -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.5	14.7	102.0	108.1	107.5
season	15.4	13.7		103.4	105.7
opponent	14.8	14.6		107.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.6	13.1	16.5	12.9	14.5
LAL	13.2	14.6	13.5	16.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	56	54	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.50	19	-24	43	13.2	16.0	-2.81	15.2	13.6	1.56
Brandan Wright	37	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.23	7	-12	19	13.1	15.3	-2.12	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Mario Chalmers	49	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-7	9	14.6	14.3	0.32	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Andrew Harrison	18	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	6	-17	17.2	13.9	3.29	13.1	14.8	-1.76
Jarell Martin	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	5	-15	16.2	12.9	3.26	14.6	14.3	0.31
Tyreke Evans	71	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	13.0	18.0	-5.02	14.1	15.4	-1.38
Mike Conley	65	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	1	-7	14.6	14.1	0.50	14.8	13.9	0.87
Marc Gasol	71	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.19	-11	6	-17	15.4	12.3	3.09	14.9	13.3	1.61
James Ennis III	85	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	6	-17	14.6	13.9	0.71	14.3	15.4	-1.09

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	70	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-5	15	14.9	13.4	1.55	14.6	14.1	0.58
Brook Lopez	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.14	11	-6	17	15.3	13.2	2.14	15.1	13.5	1.61
Lonzo Ball	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-5	15	14.4	14.7	-0.37	14.3	14.8	-0.44
Kyle Kuzma	76	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	1	3	15.0	12.7	2.32	15.1	12.3	2.76
Brandon Ingram	78	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	-1	7	14.3	15.2	-0.97	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	44	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	2	1	13.8	15.0	-1.18	14.1	14.8	-0.68
Josh Hart	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	11	-17	14.5	14.5	0.03	14.0	14.6	-0.64
Julius Randle	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	11	-17	13.2	15.3	-2.14	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Corey Brewer	30	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	12	-19	13.8	14.8	-1.02	13.7	14.8	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 74, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DET 92, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAL 73, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%