NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	3.7 [1063]		MVP	Ronnie Price (ORL): +8.2%
Orlando Magic	109		Comeback	1.1 [544]		LVP	Josh Smith (DET): -16.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Harrellson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Kyle Singler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gigi Datome	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	6	17%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.08	13	67%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	12	36%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	0%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Josh Smith	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	13	18%	-0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	11	88%	0.16	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	-0.00	-0.04	12	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	62%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	16	59%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	28.9	14.6	25.5	2.6	29.2	127.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +44.6%

ORL +7.7%

DET -8.4%

ORL +4.9%

ORL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	15.1	94.8	112.4	105.2
season	15.0	15.3		104.7	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.9	13.7	13.0	13.2	14.1
ORL	16.6	12.9	15.2	18.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-21	25	11.7	15.0	-3.38	17.6	14.8	2.73
Josh Harrellson	48	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-22	27	13.3	14.9	-1.61	16.3	14.9	1.41
Gigi Datome	43	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-15	13	13.4	14.7	-1.27	16.9	14.6	2.32
Rodney Stuckey	28	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-12	7	14.7	13.9	0.86	15.3	15.7	-0.46
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-9	1	14.7	13.5	1.24	15.6	15.6	0.02
Kyle Singler	55	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-7	-3	13.8	14.5	-0.78	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Will Bynum	43	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-13	9	13.0	15.0	-1.94	14.8	16.2	-1.33
Josh Smith	46	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-6	-5	14.7	13.5	1.17	13.9	17.3	-3.43
Brandon Jennings	61	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	0	-17	14.8	12.9	1.97	15.7	15.5	0.20
Andre Drummond	45	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	3	-23	14.6	13.7	0.97	16.3	15.0	1.28
Greg Monroe	42	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	0	-17	15.5	13.1	2.38	14.7	16.3	-1.68

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	70	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.02	17	0	17	15.3	16.4	-1.19	14.6	12.8	1.82
Nikola Vucevic	70	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	6	5	15.4	16.1	-0.73	14.6	13.0	1.60
Jameer Nelson	47	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	0	17	15.9	15.3	0.59	14.7	13.5	1.24
Glen Davis	60	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	-1	19	16.2	14.6	1.56	14.5	13.3	1.23
Arron Afflalo	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	6	5	15.0	17.0	-1.97	14.3	13.7	0.64
Victor Oladipo	73	74	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	7	3	16.1	14.2	1.89	13.7	15.4	-1.75
Maurice Harkless	44	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	14	-11	15.0	16.1	-1.16	13.3	14.8	-1.52
Jason Maxiell	17	18	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	15	-13	16.6	15.4	1.28	11.7	14.6	-2.92
Solomon Jones	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	16.3	15.5	0.79	11.2	14.3	-3.13
Kyle O'Quinn	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	16.3	15.5	0.79	11.2	14.3	-3.13
Doron Lamb	15	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	15.5	15.6	-0.06	13.7	14.2	-0.50
Ronnie Price	9	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	15.0	15.6	-0.65	15.2	14.0	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, LAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1	96.4%
LAC 82, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
LAL 75, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%