NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	7.5 [366]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +17.1%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	3.1 [463]		LVP	Pau Gasol (SAS): -21.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	5	58%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.13
Jakob Poeltl	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	5	77%	0.17	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.06
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	9	65%	0.08	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
OG Anunoby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.07	20	57%	0.11	4	-0.14	9	67%	-0.04
Delon Wright	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.00	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.13	0.01	11	36%	-0.12	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.10	-0.03	15	52%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.08	0.01	16	51%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.06
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	69%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	47%	0.09	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Paul	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.06	0.04	12	53%	0.00	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	6	7%	-0.13	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	31.7	13.8	29.0	1.7	37.3	141.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.4%

TOR -25.1%

SAS +35.3%

SAS +1.9%

SAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAS	NBA	TOR	SAS	NBA
this game	13.7	15.2	14.7	98.0	101.0	107.5
season	14.6	15.5		112.7	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.8		104.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	13.5	13.8	13.2	13.7
SAS	16.2	13.1	13.9	18.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	55	56	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.26	13	-17	30	12.9	14.8	-1.95	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Norman Powell	46	48	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-10	16	13.5	13.9	-0.40	14.7	15.6	-0.87
OG Anunoby	29	29	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-7	10	14.0	13.6	0.42	16.9	14.5	2.39
Fred VanVleet	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-1	-2	14.2	13.6	0.63	15.3	15.2	0.19
Serge Ibaka	52	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	0	-4	13.9	13.6	0.31	15.0	15.4	-0.44
Lucas Nogueira	39	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	6	-16	15.2	12.8	2.34	14.2	15.9	-1.67
DeMar DeRozan	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-3	2	13.6	14.0	-0.35	15.6	14.2	1.36
CJ Miles	51	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	3	-10	14.2	13.3	0.91	14.8	15.6	-0.84
Delon Wright	52	52	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	5	-14	13.4	14.1	-0.62	16.1	14.2	1.95
Kyle Lowry	74	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	4	-12	13.4	14.8	-1.37	14.7	16.5	-1.76

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	70	69	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-11	26	15.0	15.8	-0.81	14.2	12.7	1.54
Dejounte Murray	57	59	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.43	13	-9	22	15.2	15.2	0.07	13.7	13.8	-0.15
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	76	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.51	10	-6	16	14.8	16.4	-1.55	13.7	14.0	-0.34
Kyle Anderson	57	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	5	-6	15.8	14.3	1.49	14.0	13.4	0.54
Brandon Paul	13	13	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	2	0	18.5	14.7	3.75	14.5	13.6	0.92
Pau Gasol	45	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	-3	10	14.5	15.7	-1.21	14.8	12.8	2.04
Bryn Forbes	9	10	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-2	8	13.4	15.4	-1.93	12.5	13.9	-1.38
Rudy Gay	47	45	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	3	-2	14.8	15.5	-0.74	13.6	13.9	-0.29
Patty Mills	44	41	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.06	-7	11	-18	15.1	15.3	-0.15	14.0	13.6	0.41
Manu Ginobili	47	45	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.05	-11	15	-26	15.0	15.4	-0.38	12.5	14.8	-2.25
Joffrey Lauvergne	34	33	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.00	-15	19	-34	16.4	14.6	1.84	12.8	14.2	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.66,0.81,0.97,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.91,1,1	92.4%
DET 84, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.53,0.61,0.86,0.85,0.99,1,1	92.2%
NJN 101, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	91.9%