NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	103		Excitement	9.2 [135]		MVP	Noah Vonleh (POR): +17.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	7.3 [105]		LVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): -55.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	9	52%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	8	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Axel Toupane	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quinn Cook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	7	69%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Jrue Holiday	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	12	44%	0.04	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	8	30%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	11	26%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.01	8	63%	0.19	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	65%	0.10	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.07
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	18	64%	0.15	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.07	-0.00	13	73%	0.13	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.08	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tim Quarterman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25	-0.25	-0.16	-0.11	-0.01	11	42%	-0.00	7	-0.25	2	0%	-0.07
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.17,-0.55	-0.55	-0.07	-0.47	0.01	11	32%	-0.30	1	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	28.8	16.0	25.2	3.5	35.5	136.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -11.9%

NOP +21.8%

POR -34.1%

NOP +73.1%

NOP +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	13.3	16.0	14.8	104.0	102.0	107.7
season	14.1	14.9		104.1	108.6
opponent	14.5	15.0		109.8	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.8	11.7	14.5	14.2	13.3
POR	13.4	17.6	15.5	17.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	44	43	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.39	20	-17	37	13.2	13.3	-0.15	18.1	14.3	3.75
Axel Toupane	40	41	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.47	12	-9	21	13.1	13.3	-0.19	17.8	14.7	3.16
Quinn Cook	41	41	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.53	4	-1	5	12.5	13.8	-1.28	16.3	15.8	0.56
Cheick Diallo	59	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-2	7	12.8	13.9	-1.07	16.8	14.7	2.11
Solomon Hill	64	62	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.53	-9	12	-21	13.4	12.9	0.49	15.1	17.6	-2.47
Alexis Ajinca	53	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	1	1	12.9	13.7	-0.73	16.0	16.0	-0.06
Dante Cunningham	39	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	5	-7	14.2	12.6	1.60	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Jrue Holiday	34	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	6	-9	14.3	12.7	1.62	14.3	16.9	-2.59
Tim Frazier	56	56	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.07	-3	6	-9	13.4	13.0	0.42	15.7	16.4	-0.68
E'Twaun Moore	29	29	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.08	-6	9	-15	12.9	13.4	-0.57	15.1	16.3	-1.21
Donatas Motiejunas	36	35	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.12	-5	8	-13	13.2	13.3	-0.06	15.3	16.4	-1.05

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	45	46	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.15	5	-8	13	15.1	16.8	-1.67	13.9	12.7	1.13
Shabazz Napier	53	54	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-4	5	15.7	16.4	-0.68	13.5	13.0	0.44
Evan Turner	47	47	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-4	5	15.4	16.6	-1.21	13.8	12.7	1.08
Jake Layman	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-4	5	15.8	16.7	-0.92	13.3	13.0	0.27
Meyers Leonard	74	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-5	7	15.9	16.2	-0.34	13.0	14.2	-1.25
Tim Quarterman	45	45	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	1	-5	16.4	15.7	0.68	13.0	13.5	-0.44
Pat Connaughton	72	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	5	-13	16.6	14.3	2.34	12.8	14.5	-1.63
Noah Vonleh	77	77	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.45	-13	10	-23	16.6	13.8	2.84	13.2	13.5	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.11,0.14,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.44,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.71,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.09,0.05,0	90.4%
SAS 86, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.26,0	89.9%
CLE 95, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.45,0.29,0.05,0.01,0	89.8%