NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	79		Excitement	6.0 [627]		MVP	Treveon Graham (CHA): +22.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	89		Comeback	2.8 [697]		LVP	Frank Kaminsky (CHA): -21.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Treveon Graham	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.10	-0.00	5	92%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	12	42%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Cody Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	8	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	10	35%	-0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Briante Weber	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	12	12%	-0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.15	0.01	13	53%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.01	-0.02	7	107%	0.24	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	9	89%	0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	79%	0.13	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Rashad Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	11	45%	0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	23.3	16.7	20.5	2.0	28.0	115.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +64.9%

MIL +1.1%

MIL +10.6%

CHA -29.8%

MIL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	14.8	90.8	102.3	107.7
season	15.1	14.9		107.9	107.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		107.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.4	17.8	18.4	16.7	17.0
MIL	13.4	15.7	19.5	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	60	59	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-13	16	15.2	20.8	-5.58	16.5	15.4	1.10
Frank Kaminsky	35	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.30	8	-18	26	19.0	15.6	3.45	16.4	15.9	0.46
Nicolas Batum	56	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-5	0	15.4	19.8	-4.36	16.5	15.5	1.01
Brian Roberts	53	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-2	-6	15.3	19.6	-4.31	16.1	16.1	-0.00
Cody Zeller	53	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-2	-6	15.3	19.6	-4.31	16.1	16.1	-0.00
Briante Weber	34	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-8	6	19.6	15.3	4.31	16.1	16.1	0.00
Miles Plumlee	34	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-8	6	19.6	15.3	4.31	16.1	16.1	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	32	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	20.1	15.1	5.00	15.5	16.5	-1.01
Marvin Williams	52	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	8	-26	15.6	19.0	-3.45	15.9	16.4	-0.46
Treveon Graham	26	28	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	0	-10	20.4	15.5	4.93	15.4	16.5	-1.10

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	67	69	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.05	23	-13	36	15.4	18.5	-3.07	16.7	18.1	-1.44
Jason Terry	37	37	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.14	19	-9	28	15.4	16.7	-1.27	18.4	15.9	2.41
Khris Middleton	66	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-7	24	16.3	15.5	0.81	16.0	20.2	-4.20
Malcolm Brogdon	45	49	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.28	19	-9	28	16.1	16.1	-0.01	15.7	18.7	-3.00
Matthew Dellavedova	40	37	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.34	-4	14	-18	15.8	16.4	-0.63	19.0	15.4	3.59
Greg Monroe	46	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.25	-1	11	-12	16.2	16.0	0.21	17.4	16.5	0.94
John Henson	17	17	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	3	4	15.8	16.2	-0.46	15.4	17.4	-2.00
Michael Beasley	21	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.34	-7	17	-24	15.5	16.3	-0.81	20.2	16.0	4.20
Thon Maker	24	26	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	6	-2	16.2	16.1	0.10	17.2	16.9	0.38
Rashad Vaughn	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	23.0	16.0	7.02	5.0	17.1	-12.10
Gary Payton II	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	23.0	16.0	7.02	5.0	17.1	-12.10
Tony Snell	48	49	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	14	-18	16.4	15.8	0.62	16.2	18.0	-1.84
Mirza Teletovic	20	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.16	-13	23	-36	18.5	15.4	3.07	18.1	16.7	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%
MIN 103, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	92.7%
ATL 90, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.96,1	92.1%