NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	130		Excitement	14.5 [3]		MVP	JR Smith (CLE): +89.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	135		Comeback	8.2 [244]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -16.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.80	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.22,0.04,0.21,0.15,0.3,0.47,0.64,0.8	0.15	0.65	0.00	33	59%	0.95	3	-0.16	7	71%	-0.18
CJ Miles	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47	0.27	0.24	0.03	13	84%	0.47	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Thaddeus Young	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.08	0.02	12	76%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.05	-0.01	13	59%	0.17	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	8	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.10	-0.01	8	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Aaron Brooks	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	-0.01	7	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JR Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.89,0.89,0.89	0.89	0.15	0.74	-0.01	12	75%	0.89	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.44	0.44	0.18	0.25	-0.01	29	59%	0.46	1	-0.02	12	50%	-0.12
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.29,-0.29,-0.22,-0.13,-0.02,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.01	12	77%	0.49	4	-0.31	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.19,-0.12,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	7	67%	0.04	2	-0.12	4	50%	-0.28
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.09	0.03	20	45%	-0.08	3	-0.09	11	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.6	15.4	24.4	2.4	37.5	2.6	20.2	2.4	21.3	181.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +103.6%

IND -61.3%

CLE +53.6%

IND -49.8%

CLE +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	14.8	118.2	120.5	107.7
season	14.9	14.9		107.5	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.8		109.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	15.3	16.3	16.3	15.2	15.8	15.8
CLE	15.4	15.0	18.0	16.7	14.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	67	68	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.00	5	-10	15	16.1	14.8	1.25	16.9	14.0	2.85
Paul George	90	91	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.43	15	-20	35	15.4	16.2	-0.83	16.3	13.3	3.01
Lavoy Allen	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-2	-1	15.1	15.8	-0.63	14.8	16.2	-1.44
Monta Ellis	70	69	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-6	7	15.6	15.5	0.15	15.7	15.9	-0.14
Aaron Brooks	27	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	14.9	15.8	-0.91	15.7	15.8	-0.07
Kevin Seraphin	10	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	2	-9	15.1	15.6	-0.52	12.6	16.1	-3.49
Lance Stephenson	34	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	1	-7	15.8	15.5	0.32	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Jeff Teague	73	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-3	1	15.8	15.1	0.66	16.0	15.4	0.64
Thaddeus Young	55	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	3	-11	16.1	15.0	1.15	15.6	15.9	-0.30
CJ Miles	61	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.39	-12	7	-19	15.2	16.1	-0.88	15.6	16.0	-0.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	83	78	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.89	-1	6	-7	15.6	16.2	-0.53	15.5	15.7	-0.12
Kyrie Irving	87	87	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	-1	7	16.0	14.9	1.10	15.6	15.4	0.23
Deron Williams	34	33	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-5	15	14.2	16.4	-2.21	16.1	15.4	0.74
Iman Shumpert	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-6	17	14.4	16.7	-2.35	15.4	15.7	-0.31
LeBron James	100	99	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	6	-7	16.1	13.2	2.92	15.4	17.1	-1.69
JR Smith	81	80	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.33	-3	8	-11	16.2	14.6	1.56	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Channing Frye	37	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	3	-1	14.8	16.3	-1.48	15.8	15.4	0.39
Richard Jefferson	22	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	6	-7	15.6	15.8	-0.23	15.2	15.7	-0.41
Kevin Love	70	70	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.22	2	3	-1	16.9	13.9	3.07	15.8	15.1	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.72,0.74,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.15,0.5,0.69,0.54,0.77,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.57,1	86.4%
SAC 100, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.16,0.27,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.43,0.83,1	86.3%
DAL 115, BOS 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.73,1	86.0%