NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	7.9 [287]		MVP	Justin Holiday (NYK): +16.0%
Miami Heat	94		Comeback	1.3 [261]		LVP	Goran Dragic (MIA): -19.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.01	0.13	-0.02	10	60%	0.22	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.01	15	56%	0.14	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Ron Baker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	78%	0.09	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	12	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.08	-0.01	18	61%	0.18	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ndour	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.02	9	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.12
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	68%	0.18	3	-0.18	7	71%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Okaro White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	11	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	48%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	0.02	-0.20	0.02	17	55%	-0.05	3	-0.15	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	31.6	15.3	22.6	2.3	45.5	141.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +70.4%

NYK +0.3%

MIA -20.0%

MIA -0.3%

MIA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	14.8	106.5	98.9	107.7
season	15.0	15.4		106.6	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.7		105.9	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	13.5	19.9	16.0	15.8
MIA	13.1	15.8	17.1	14.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kristaps Porzingis	67	69	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-6	16	16.2	14.7	1.50	15.6	13.6	2.02
Willy Hernangomez	56	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	0	4	16.6	14.4	2.23	15.2	14.9	0.29
Courtney Lee	67	68	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	0	4	16.3	14.3	1.99	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Justin Holiday	49	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	1	2	14.8	16.9	-2.04	15.2	14.8	0.42
Ron Baker	71	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	6	-8	16.5	13.4	3.04	14.5	16.7	-2.19
Chasson Randle	21	22	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	-2	8	13.4	16.5	-3.04	16.7	14.5	2.19
Sasha Vujacic	68	72	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	1	2	15.9	15.3	0.59	15.1	15.0	0.11
Kyle O'Quinn	36	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	6	-8	14.4	16.6	-2.23	15.2	14.9	0.29
Maurice Ndour	25	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	10	-16	14.7	16.2	-1.50	13.6	15.6	-2.02

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Okaro White	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	16.1	14.9	1.19	12.4	16.2	-3.87
Willie Reed	33	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-5	6	15.4	14.9	0.54	13.0	17.1	-4.11
Luke Babbitt	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	1	-6	15.2	15.0	0.19	18.1	14.7	3.46
Wayne Ellington	46	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	0	-4	15.2	14.9	0.30	13.6	17.7	-4.16
Goran Dragic	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-5	6	14.6	16.1	-1.53	16.7	13.4	3.29
Rodney McGruder	60	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-4	4	14.8	15.4	-0.57	17.1	13.5	3.57
James Johnson	55	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-7	10	14.8	15.4	-0.66	15.2	16.5	-1.38
Hassan Whiteside	62	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	14.9	15.4	-0.54	17.1	13.0	4.11
Josh Richardson	58	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	8	-20	15.6	14.1	1.53	15.9	15.6	0.26
Tyler Johnson	55	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-5	6	15.1	15.0	0.07	14.8	17.0	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.06,0.13,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.16,0	92.2%
SAS 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.02,0	91.8%
UTA 109, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.01,0	91.8%