NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	3.5 [1099]		MVP	Solomon Hill (NOP): +20.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	128		Comeback	1.1 [403]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (NOP): -6.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.24	-0.00	0.19	21	73%	0.12	5	-0.07	14	93%	0.02
Montrezl Harrell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	5	87%	0.05	1	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	13	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Wiltjer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	12	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	35%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Hill	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.24	0.01	0.04	13	86%	0.23	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	110%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	17	53%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	0.00	0.07	18	59%	-0.01	4	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	10	33%	-0.05	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.7	28.5	14.8	25.2	1.8	27.2	125.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +39.6%

HOU -3.2%

NOP +6.3%

NOP +0.5%

NOP +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOP	NBA	HOU	NOP	NBA
this game	12.1	14.8	14.8	104.7	119.6	107.7
season	13.7	14.1		113.2	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.9		106.2	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	10.9	12.1	12.9	12.6	12.1
NOP	13.1	15.1	15.9	15.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Wiltjer	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	13.2	12.0	1.15	14.2	14.9	-0.70
Bobby Brown	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	13.2	12.0	1.15	14.2	14.9	-0.70
Sam Dekker	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-17	18	12.5	12.0	0.46	17.2	14.6	2.61
Montrezl Harrell	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	-6	-4	11.6	12.4	-0.81	16.0	14.1	1.93
Clint Capela	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-4	-8	12.7	11.6	1.09	13.5	15.7	-2.18
Patrick Beverley	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-10	4	12.8	10.9	1.87	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Ryan Anderson	64	63	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-11	6	12.8	11.0	1.81	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Lou Williams	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-7	-2	11.4	13.2	-1.82	15.5	13.7	1.75
Eric Gordon	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-6	-4	11.6	13.0	-1.34	15.5	13.4	2.13
Trevor Ariza	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-1	-14	11.8	12.6	-0.85	14.2	16.0	-1.81
James Harden	89	90	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-4	-8	11.9	13.2	-1.30	14.6	16.0	-1.39

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	87	87	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	1	14	14.7	15.2	-0.45	12.1	12.0	0.04
Solomon Hill	85	85	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	3	10	14.5	16.2	-1.70	12.1	12.1	-0.07
Anthony Davis	85	86	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	5	6	14.4	16.6	-2.21	12.1	11.9	0.22
Tim Frazier	54	53	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	5	6	15.4	14.3	1.05	10.9	13.2	-2.34
E'Twaun Moore	59	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	10	-4	15.2	14.3	0.90	11.4	12.9	-1.58
Jordan Crawford	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	9	-2	15.7	14.3	1.46	11.9	12.2	-0.37
Jrue Holiday	61	61	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	10	-4	14.5	15.3	-0.75	12.9	11.0	1.83
Wayne Selden	42	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	10	-4	13.8	15.5	-1.76	13.4	11.2	2.23
Alexis Ajinca	21	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	11	-6	17.3	14.2	3.05	12.3	12.0	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, OKC 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHI 82, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CHA 98, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%