NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	98		Excitement	2.8 [1226]		MVP	Steve Novak (SAS): +8.6%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.2 [915]		LVP	Kwame Brown (CHA): -6.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	14	66%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	14	57%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.08	9	59%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	45%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	7	37%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.18	0.00	0.09	10	86%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	7	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	55%	0.06	2	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	73%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	2	125%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	26.4	15.7	27.3	2.5	26.5	128.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.2%

SAS +3.5%

CHA -0.4%

SAS +6.5%

SAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SAS	NBA	CHA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	16.5	15.5	107.7	119.8	105.7
season	16.2	15.5		102.3	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.1	16.0	14.7	13.9	15.2
SAS	16.6	14.6	15.3	19.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.37	11	-22	33	14.3	15.6	-1.33	18.2	15.5	2.78
Eduardo Najera	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-11	11	15.9	15.1	0.77	14.9	16.6	-1.73
Tyrus Thomas	34	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-12	13	14.2	15.8	-1.58	17.8	15.5	2.29
DJ White	36	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-12	13	13.4	16.4	-2.99	17.8	15.5	2.25
Shaun Livingston	44	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-12	13	14.1	16.2	-2.14	16.8	16.1	0.62
Matt Carroll	37	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	0	-11	15.1	15.3	-0.20	15.8	16.9	-1.02
Dante Cunningham	44	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	3	-17	15.7	14.7	0.98	15.2	17.6	-2.46
D.J. Augustin	50	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	2	-15	15.8	14.5	1.25	15.6	17.4	-1.80
Kwame Brown	48	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	1	-13	15.8	14.6	1.21	15.7	17.3	-1.64
Boris Diaw	55	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	1	-13	16.4	13.4	2.99	15.5	17.8	-2.25
Gerald Henderson	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	15.6	14.0	1.68	17.1	14.5	2.65

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	59	60	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	3	5	16.3	16.8	-0.51	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Tony Parker	57	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	-6	23	16.9	15.6	1.28	16.3	13.2	3.16
Matt Bonner	47	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	1	9	17.1	15.8	1.31	15.4	15.0	0.34
Gary Neal	46	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	5	1	16.9	16.0	0.89	15.1	15.3	-0.13
Manu Ginobili	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	1	9	14.5	17.9	-3.39	15.5	15.0	0.47
DeJuan Blair	38	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	8	-5	16.9	16.1	0.76	15.0	15.3	-0.37
Richard Jefferson	45	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	3	5	16.5	16.4	0.03	15.9	14.5	1.45
Tiago Splitter	43	44	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	5	1	16.9	16.0	0.91	15.5	14.9	0.59
Antonio McDyess	33	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	7	-3	14.4	17.6	-3.27	15.4	15.1	0.25
Steve Novak	36	34	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.36	-10	21	-31	16.9	16.1	0.77	13.4	16.2	-2.80
Danny Green	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	18.4	16.3	2.14	12.0	15.5	-3.46
James Anderson	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	16	-21	17.8	16.4	1.48	9.8	15.6	-5.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, SAS 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
PHI 78, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
MEM 70, UTA 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%