inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 103 Excitement4.3 [947] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +7.8%
Atlanta Hawks 91 Comeback1.6 [416] LVPPaul Millsap (ATL): -14.4%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.000.07-0.012048%0.111-0.03683%0.02
Brandan Wright0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.01483%0.0800.004100%0.01
Tony Allen0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.01856%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Andrew Harrison0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01462%0.0400.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.031164%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Troy Daniels0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.00-0.04743%0.031-0.0000%0.00
James Ennis III0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01650%0.0100.002100%0.00
Toney Douglas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.011653%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Vince Carter-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.02250%0.002-0.03250%-0.01
Zach Randolph-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.051331%-0.011-0.0200%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.04-0.05562%0.103-0.03667%0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.011455%0.081-0.02580%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01862%0.051-0.001080%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.010100%0.021-0.012100%0.01
Taurean Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.010.051073%0.063-0.052100%0.00
Ryan Kelly0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malcolm Delaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00550%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00125%-0.011-0.03250%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.011630%-0.101-0.031100%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.050.01945%-0.044-0.10450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.729.315.326.11.834.3132.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +32.1%
ATL -4.4%
MEM +5.8%
MEM +13.5%
MEM +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMATLNBAMEMATLNBA
this game16.913.914.8109.697.8107.7
season16.114.4106.4104.2
opponent14.914.9104.6106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM17.217.517.315.716.9
ATL14.112.517.812.013.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol68680.59-0.090.68-0.0221-93017.016.50.5415.110.74.39
Mike Conley64640.470.030.430.0614-21616.517.7-1.1814.412.71.75
Vince Carter54540.460.040.42-0.1019-72616.517.5-1.0115.411.83.66
Tony Allen52520.430.070.37-0.0918-62416.617.2-0.6215.611.73.86
JaMychal Green50490.360.140.21-0.0213-11416.617.2-0.6715.212.52.73
Brandan Wright29290.060.44-0.370.09-113-1416.717.0-0.2911.415.0-3.60
Troy Daniels41400.060.44-0.370.21-517-2217.116.70.4511.515.7-4.15
James Ennis III41400.040.46-0.410.28-820-2817.616.41.1812.015.3-3.36
Andrew Harrison30290.030.47-0.430.09-214-1617.716.51.1812.714.4-1.75
Toney Douglas550.000.50-0.500.09-315-1812.017.2-5.178.414.2-5.80
Zach Randolph3635-0.010.51-0.530.16-618-2417.916.31.6112.614.7-2.03

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon38400.02-0.520.54-0.166-182411.115.8-4.7116.517.2-0.73
Ryan Kelly56-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-15188.414.2-5.8013.317.1-3.80
Malcolm Delaney56-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-15188.414.2-5.8013.317.1-3.80
Ersan Ilyasova2729-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-111013.913.9-0.0117.716.51.15
Mike Muscala2022-0.06-0.440.37-0.01-2-1089.815.0-5.1516.117.1-1.05
Thabo Sefolosha2726-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-5-216.113.03.1316.417.1-0.65
Taurean Prince5859-0.23-0.270.04-0.17-2-10812.915.6-2.7416.916.90.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.5757-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.09-7-5-213.514.6-1.1317.615.91.70
Dennis Schroder4847-0.40-0.10-0.300.01-142-1616.011.64.3617.516.31.19
Paul Millsap5757-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.03-131-1415.611.24.3617.216.50.72
Kent Bazemore6060-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.03-131-1414.512.81.7116.617.5-0.90
Dwight Howard6361-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.09-131-1414.412.81.6117.016.80.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 109, CLE 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
MEM 116, MIN 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
TOR 123, PHI 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,095.3%