NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	77		Excitement	3.5 [1116]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +28.5%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.3 [819]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (IND): -7.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	15	54%	0.03	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Briante Weber	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	41%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	11	30%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.32	0.05	0.09	21	87%	0.32	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	5	90%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	13	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rakeem Christmas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	8	50%	0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	25.3	15.4	26.4	2.4	27.3	122.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +56.7%

CHA -2.4%

IND +0.6%

CHA -6.5%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	16.9	15.8	14.8	87.5	111.4	107.7
season	15.1	14.9		107.9	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.8		108.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.6	17.4	16.6	16.1	16.9
IND	16.7	16.1	14.0	16.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Treveon Graham	15	16	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-27	33	16.1	17.1	-0.95	16.2	15.7	0.54
Christian Wood	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-25	29	14.5	17.1	-2.60	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Brian Roberts	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-25	29	14.5	17.1	-2.60	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Marco Belinelli	50	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.16	-7	-14	7	16.7	17.3	-0.60	16.0	15.6	0.35
Briante Weber	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-22	23	15.9	17.6	-1.62	16.1	15.6	0.47
Frank Kaminsky	56	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	-8	-5	16.9	16.9	0.02	16.0	15.5	0.43
Marvin Williams	65	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-9	-3	17.1	16.4	0.72	15.8	15.9	-0.15
Kemba Walker	56	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.34	-25	4	-29	17.6	15.7	1.94	15.6	16.1	-0.45
Cody Zeller	49	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.22	-21	0	-21	17.0	16.9	0.09	15.7	15.9	-0.25
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	48	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-5	-11	17.2	16.5	0.68	15.7	15.9	-0.22
Jeremy Lamb	54	52	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.20	-26	5	-31	17.3	16.4	0.92	15.6	16.1	-0.47

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	67	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.29	29	-8	37	15.8	16.0	-0.19	17.6	14.6	3.02
Paul George	58	60	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.33	27	-6	33	16.2	15.1	1.02	17.9	14.9	3.03
Jeff Teague	54	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.28	25	-4	29	15.6	16.1	-0.46	17.5	16.0	1.55
CJ Miles	35	35	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	4	13	15.1	16.3	-1.15	16.9	16.9	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	3	15	16.1	14.8	1.23	16.8	17.2	-0.37
Monta Ellis	48	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.14	8	13	-5	16.2	15.3	0.84	17.2	16.6	0.59
Kevin Seraphin	19	19	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.01	3	18	-15	14.8	16.1	-1.23	17.2	16.8	0.37
Rodney Stuckey	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	23	-25	16.3	15.6	0.70	16.2	17.3	-1.14
Joe Young	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	14.7	15.9	-1.11	14.5	17.0	-2.54
Aaron Brooks	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	14.7	15.9	-1.11	14.5	17.0	-2.54
Glenn Robinson III	31	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	29	-37	15.5	16.0	-0.50	14.8	17.9	-3.12
Rakeem Christmas	21	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.18	-8	29	-37	16.0	15.8	0.19	14.6	17.6	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHX 107, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHI 80, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%