NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	123		Excitement	3.7 [1060]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +12.3%
Denver Nuggets	113		Comeback	1.3 [590]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (DEN): -10.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	19	70%	0.19	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.16	-0.00	0.07	15	77%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	3	110%	0.09	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01	0.16	-0.00	0.15	15	73%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	10	46%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.24	-0.01	0.17	15	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.04	16	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	58%	0.05	4	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Juan Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.09	15	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	38%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	29.4	15.4	21.5	2.3	34.3	127.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.0%

WAS +2.6%

WAS +8.9%

WAS +9.8%

WAS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	14.8	124.2	114.1	107.7
season	14.4	14.4		109.9	111.6
opponent	14.5	14.9		111.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.7	16.0	15.4	17.0	15.2
DEN	13.9	13.5	13.4	14.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	68	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-8	26	15.2	15.2	-0.03	14.8	11.9	2.90
Markieff Morris	55	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-7	24	15.1	15.4	-0.29	14.3	13.3	1.04
John Wall	74	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	3	4	15.1	15.5	-0.37	13.4	15.3	-1.88
Marcin Gortat	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	4	2	15.6	14.4	1.18	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Brandon Jennings	36	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	1	8	14.4	15.6	-1.19	14.2	13.7	0.52
Otto Porter Jr.	67	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	9	-8	16.2	13.1	3.07	14.1	13.4	0.73
Ian Mahinmi	32	32	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	4	2	14.4	15.6	-1.18	14.1	13.8	0.30
Kelly Oubre Jr.	41	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	13	-16	14.8	15.5	-0.68	13.3	14.3	-1.05
Bojan Bogdanovic	44	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.26	-7	17	-24	15.4	15.1	0.29	13.3	14.3	-1.04
Tomas Satoransky	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	14	-18	13.8	15.4	-1.56	11.5	14.2	-2.74

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emmanuel Mudiay	19	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-5	0	12.9	14.1	-1.23	13.8	15.5	-1.74
Will Barton	52	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-10	10	14.6	13.1	1.41	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Darrell Arthur	56	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-14	18	14.2	13.5	0.71	15.7	14.5	1.18
Jamal Murray	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-14	18	13.6	14.2	-0.63	15.7	14.7	0.97
Jameer Nelson	50	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	4	-18	14.2	13.6	0.63	14.7	15.7	-0.97
Gary Harris	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-8	6	13.9	13.7	0.23	15.5	14.2	1.34
Wilson Chandler	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	13.6	14.7	-1.15	15.0	15.7	-0.76
Mason Plumlee	62	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	4	-18	14.3	13.2	1.12	15.6	14.6	0.97
Juan Hernangomez	62	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	5	-20	13.2	15.0	-1.73	14.7	16.0	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 100, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	96.1%
MEM 91, NYK 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MIN 98, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%