NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	7.9 [284]		MVP	Jerian Grant (CHI): +23.3%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	6.4 [245]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -23.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerian Grant	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.23	0.10	0.13	-0.00	9	72%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	69%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Bobby Portis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Cameron Payne	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.15	-0.01	21	45%	-0.07	5	-0.16	5	80%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	12	71%	0.16	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	56%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	7	65%	0.11	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.03	17	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Zimmerman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	11	27%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	7	14%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	26.3	15.4	24.4	2.4	32.6	125.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -21.2%

ORL +13.1%

ORL +34.4%

ORL +26.2%

CHI -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	13.9	14.8	98.9	103.2	107.7
season	15.1	14.6		105.9	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.8		109.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	17.5	18.7	16.6	17.0
ORL	12.3	16.0	13.4	14.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	39	41	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-8	9	16.7	17.1	-0.41	12.6	14.9	-2.22
Denzel Valentine	45	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-9	11	15.8	18.1	-2.35	14.8	13.1	1.64
Jerian Grant	46	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-9	11	18.0	15.9	2.04	13.5	14.2	-0.72
Cameron Payne	33	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-6	5	15.9	17.5	-1.59	14.4	13.6	0.81
Paul Zipser	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	0	-7	17.2	16.9	0.32	12.3	14.6	-2.28
Cristiano Felicio	24	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-5	3	15.3	17.5	-2.25	15.3	13.4	1.92
Robin Lopez	68	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-3	-1	17.5	15.3	2.25	13.4	15.3	-1.92
Jimmy Butler	72	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	1	-9	17.5	14.9	2.56	13.3	16.3	-2.96
Joffrey Lauvergne	53	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	1	-9	17.1	16.7	0.41	14.9	12.6	2.22
Rajon Rondo	52	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.31	-10	3	-13	16.8	17.1	-0.25	14.9	12.6	2.22

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	59	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-3	13	12.8	15.7	-2.90	17.0	16.9	0.16
Evan Fournier	67	64	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-1	9	13.5	14.9	-1.36	17.2	16.3	0.96
Elfrid Payton	69	68	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-5	17	13.4	15.2	-1.84	17.7	15.0	2.70
Terrence Ross	62	60	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-4	15	13.0	15.5	-2.44	17.5	15.8	1.71
Stephen Zimmerman	26	24	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	3	1	14.7	13.6	1.10	15.9	17.3	-1.41
Bismack Biyombo	69	68	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	4	-1	13.6	14.7	-1.10	17.3	15.9	1.41
Mario Hezonja	37	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	9	-11	15.4	12.9	2.43	15.9	17.7	-1.78
D.J. Augustin	26	24	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	12	-17	15.2	13.4	1.84	15.0	17.7	-2.70
C.J. Watson	24	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	10	-13	14.9	13.5	1.37	16.3	17.2	-0.87
Jeff Green	36	36	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	10	-13	15.7	12.8	2.90	16.9	17.0	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.83,0.71,0.6,0.86,0.78,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 74, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.91,1	92.5%
MIA 73, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1	91.8%
NJN 83, BOS 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.61,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.95,1	91.7%