NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	112		Excitement	2.5 [1237]		MVP	Tony Snell (MIL): +14.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.0 [1082]		LVP	Dario Saric (PHI): -8.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	11	95%	0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.15	-0.00	0.08	13	63%	0.06	0	0.00	12	75%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	7	93%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	71%	0.04	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thon Maker	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	59%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	8	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	29%	-0.00
Justin Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	16	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	15	41%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	26.3	14.6	27.3	1.8	30.3	126.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +39.9%

MIL +2.6%

PHI -0.6%

MIL +7.7%

MIL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	14.8	119.1	103.2	107.7
season	14.9	14.5		107.4	101.9
opponent	14.4	15.3		107.6	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.1	15.2	16.1	17.8	16.1
PHI	16.2	13.6	16.6	11.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.21	24	-10	34	15.1	17.8	-2.63	15.5	12.5	2.94
Khris Middleton	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.29	24	-10	34	15.5	17.1	-1.58	14.9	13.5	1.40
Matthew Dellavedova	53	54	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	10	-6	16.8	15.1	1.61	13.7	15.4	-1.77
Thon Maker	28	28	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.21	17	-3	20	15.1	16.5	-1.35	16.6	13.5	3.14
Giannis Antetokounmpo	67	69	0.28	0.21	0.07	-0.13	14	0	14	15.5	17.5	-2.06	14.9	13.1	1.87
Greg Monroe	44	43	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	8	-2	16.8	15.4	1.44	14.5	14.4	0.15
Mirza Teletovic	42	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	16	-18	17.0	15.3	1.63	13.3	15.3	-2.05
Malcolm Brogdon	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	4	6	15.1	16.8	-1.61	15.4	13.7	1.77
Jason Terry	52	52	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.39	-9	23	-32	17.5	14.3	3.15	13.7	15.3	-1.51
Rashad Vaughn	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	23	-32	17.5	15.9	1.58	7.8	15.1	-7.35
Spencer Hawes	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	23	-32	16.0	16.1	-0.06	10.5	15.0	-4.51

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Long	32	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-25	36	12.9	15.2	-2.25	16.9	15.7	1.24
Justin Harper	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-21	28	9.4	15.0	-5.62	15.8	16.1	-0.30
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	36	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-22	30	13.1	15.2	-2.08	16.7	15.6	1.10
Justin Anderson	48	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.27	3	-17	20	12.0	16.9	-4.96	16.6	15.5	1.09
Nik Stauskas	51	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-9	4	14.2	14.7	-0.59	16.7	15.3	1.43
Sergio Rodriguez	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.36	5	-19	24	13.1	15.7	-2.65	17.4	14.7	2.71
T.J. McConnell	49	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.27	-19	5	-24	15.7	13.1	2.65	14.7	17.4	-2.71
Gerald Henderson	32	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	4	-22	17.0	13.1	3.87	15.0	16.6	-1.67
Dario Saric	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	4	-22	15.6	12.2	3.43	16.0	16.2	-0.17
Robert Covington	66	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	3	-20	14.8	13.7	1.12	16.0	16.1	-0.07
Richaun Holmes	42	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.33	-27	13	-40	16.8	12.6	4.22	14.5	17.3	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 125, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
DET 92, NOH 69	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
OKC 116, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%