NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	114		Excitement	9.1 [145]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (WAS): +100.6%
Washington Wizards	115		Comeback	21.6 [222]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -24.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,0.28	0.04	0.24	-0.00	16	55%	0.38	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.03
Terrence Ross	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2	0.04	0.15	-0.01	18	56%	0.31	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	8	83%	0.15	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Mario Hezonja	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.06
Jeff Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Zimmerman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.25	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,-0.25	-0.01	-0.23	0.01	13	48%	-0.20	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.37,0.37,0.67,1.01	1.01	0.28	0.72	-0.00	12	108%	1.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.09	0.04	21	68%	0.26	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.06
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	58%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	9	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	17	46%	0.00	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	25.4	15.6	29.1	1.0	32.8	129.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +43.9%

WAS +0.6%

ORL -18.3%

WAS +19.2%

WAS +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	14.8	120.0	121.1	107.7
season	14.6	14.4		103.0	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.0	13.7	16.6	17.5	15.6
WAS	15.0	15.1	12.9	15.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Zimmerman	10	11	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-8	15	15.6	15.6	-0.04	16.6	14.4	2.21
Mario Hezonja	32	32	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-2	3	17.2	14.8	2.39	14.4	14.8	-0.37
Bismack Biyombo	67	68	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.14	-2	1	-3	15.3	16.4	-1.13	14.5	15.1	-0.65
D.J. Augustin	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	1	-3	17.5	14.5	2.98	14.3	14.9	-0.54
C.J. Watson	26	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	0	-1	16.7	15.2	1.51	14.1	14.9	-0.75
Evan Fournier	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-3	5	15.1	17.0	-1.91	14.9	14.1	0.75
Aaron Gordon	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	1	-3	15.3	16.6	-1.33	14.3	15.6	-1.30
Elfrid Payton	60	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-2	3	14.5	17.5	-2.98	14.9	14.3	0.54
Terrence Ross	64	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.50	-4	3	-7	15.0	17.0	-2.03	14.8	14.4	0.37
Jeff Green	42	41	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.64	-5	4	-9	16.7	14.8	1.98	15.0	14.4	0.64

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	79	80	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-13	27	14.8	14.2	0.60	16.0	13.7	2.25
Bojan Bogdanovic	52	52	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.52	5	-4	9	15.0	14.3	0.70	16.7	14.4	2.30
John Wall	74	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	2	-3	14.8	14.3	0.51	15.1	17.5	-2.37
Otto Porter Jr.	62	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.51	-5	6	-11	15.0	14.1	0.86	14.9	17.0	-2.11
Markieff Morris	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.55	-7	8	-15	15.3	13.4	1.93	14.8	17.2	-2.44
Tomas Satoransky	13	14	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	-14	29	12.0	15.1	-3.11	19.6	14.9	4.70
Ian Mahinmi	41	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-2	5	13.9	15.3	-1.38	16.5	15.0	1.54
Brandon Jennings	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	3	-5	14.3	14.9	-0.61	16.7	15.1	1.59
Kelly Oubre Jr.	14	12	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.11	-11	12	-23	14.1	14.8	-0.72	12.7	16.0	-3.30
Marcin Gortat	44	46	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	7	-13	14.6	14.7	-0.13	14.8	16.4	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.25,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 111, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.53,0.35,0.61,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.53,1	92.5%
ATL 74, CHI 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.14,0.42,1	91.8%
BOS 92, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.2,0.15,0.32,0.58,1	91.6%