NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	115		Excitement	2.6 [1223]		MVP	Amir Johnson (BOS): +9.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	1.3 [1121]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): -8.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	7	87%	0.10	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	12	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	13	58%	0.08	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Jae Crowder	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	6	78%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Jaylen Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	13	55%	0.02	2	-0.00	3	67%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.13	7	37%	0.03	5	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	133%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	37%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	58%	0.01	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Jordan Mickey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	2	87%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	7	14%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	6	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	19	47%	-0.05	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	30.4	15.4	24.5	2.5	27.8	127.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +21.7%

BOS +11.6%

BOS +5.7%

BOS +9.8%

BOS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.2	14.8	110.6	92.2	107.7
season	14.7	14.5		110.1	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.9		111.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.4	13.2	12.0	16.1	13.6
LAL	14.8	13.4	14.2	14.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	61	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	-3	26	12.7	14.9	-2.22	13.7	15.1	-1.47
Isaiah Thomas	57	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.25	22	-2	24	12.6	14.8	-2.12	13.8	14.7	-0.92
Al Horford	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.31	24	-4	28	13.8	13.2	0.60	14.9	12.9	1.97
Amir Johnson	51	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	2	16	13.6	13.6	-0.03	14.8	13.6	1.14
Avery Bradley	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.28	20	0	20	14.3	13.0	1.26	15.3	13.3	1.98
Marcus Smart	61	60	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	18	-16	13.8	13.3	0.56	13.8	14.8	-1.05
Jonas Jerebko	33	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.30	17	3	14	15.1	12.9	2.13	13.8	14.4	-0.60
Jaylen Brown	52	50	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.27	-6	26	-32	13.4	13.8	-0.48	13.8	14.6	-0.78
Terry Rozier	24	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	15	-10	16.1	12.9	3.22	14.5	14.1	0.38
Kelly Olynyk	33	32	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.41	-13	33	-46	12.8	14.0	-1.20	13.6	14.5	-0.87
Jordan Mickey	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	12.9	13.7	-0.80	13.3	14.3	-0.95
James Young	27	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.31	-11	31	-42	13.1	13.8	-0.62	14.7	14.1	0.58

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Ennis	36	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.43	13	-33	46	14.2	14.2	-0.04	13.1	13.9	-0.83
David Nwaba	46	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-25	30	13.3	15.0	-1.66	13.3	13.8	-0.52
Tarik Black	36	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.33	-16	-4	-12	15.8	13.4	2.39	14.8	13.0	1.76
Larry Nance Jr.	45	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.38	8	-28	36	14.0	14.4	-0.32	13.0	14.1	-1.07
Ivica Zubac	49	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.42	9	-29	38	14.1	14.4	-0.27	13.0	14.2	-1.29
Corey Brewer	26	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-8	-4	14.8	14.0	0.73	13.4	13.7	-0.29
Nick Young	37	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.40	-23	3	-26	14.2	14.2	-0.01	13.1	13.9	-0.81
Jordan Clarkson	61	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-17	14	14.1	14.5	-0.39	14.1	12.8	1.31
D'Angelo Russell	63	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.48	-28	8	-36	14.4	13.9	0.49	13.9	13.2	0.70
Brandon Ingram	54	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.25	-22	2	-24	14.2	14.3	-0.08	13.6	13.6	0.00
Julius Randle	62	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.51	-31	11	-42	14.0	14.5	-0.48	14.1	13.0	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 115, CHA 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DAL 107, CHA 80	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
NYK 107, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%