NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	2.3 [1270]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +5.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	83		Comeback	1.1 [527]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -11.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	12	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	17	42%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Sean Marks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	68%	0.02	2	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	11	73%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	0.00	0.10	8	87%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alando Tucker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	3	33%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	10	30%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	57%	-0.01	2	0.00	12	50%	-0.02
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	7	58%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	8	69%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	12	41%	-0.02	5	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	31.3	15.6	28.8	0.8	25.6	127.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +30.1%

PHX +3.3%

PHX +3.4%

PHX +12.9%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHA	NBA	PHX	CHA	NBA
this game	13.8	16.4	15.4	119.8	87.4	105.7
season	13.8	15.8		111.1	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.6		107.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.8	14.2	14.5	14.6	13.8
CHA	17.4	15.2	16.2	16.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	50	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.47	31	1	30	13.9	13.6	0.29	16.9	15.8	1.06
Shawn Marion	56	57	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.42	29	3	26	13.8	13.7	0.14	17.2	15.2	1.92
Leandro Barbosa	73	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	14	4	13.8	13.8	-0.06	15.6	18.6	-2.94
Boris Diaw	75	76	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.26	22	10	12	13.9	13.3	0.63	16.4	16.4	0.03
Raja Bell	70	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	15	2	14.0	13.3	0.70	16.0	17.4	-1.42
Grant Hill	50	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	18	-4	13.1	14.6	-1.51	16.8	16.0	0.82
Brian Skinner	18	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	29	-26	13.4	13.9	-0.48	14.6	16.8	-2.12
Sean Marks	34	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	28	-24	13.9	13.7	0.20	15.8	16.7	-0.92
Marcus Banks	32	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.13	7	25	-18	14.6	13.4	1.27	16.6	16.3	0.33
DJ Strawberry	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	23	-14	13.0	13.9	-0.90	18.5	16.0	2.49
Alando Tucker	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	26	-20	12.6	13.9	-1.35	17.0	16.3	0.67

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.28	-10	-22	12	16.2	16.5	-0.27	14.3	13.6	0.75
Matt Carroll	49	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-29	26	16.0	16.8	-0.80	14.1	13.4	0.75
Walter Herrmann	36	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-34	36	15.6	16.9	-1.34	13.9	13.7	0.27
Jared Dudley	40	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-29	26	15.6	16.9	-1.28	13.7	13.8	-0.10
Primoz Brezec	12	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-27	22	19.2	16.0	3.18	11.0	14.1	-3.14
Jermareo Davidson	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-29	26	16.4	16.4	-0.02	13.5	14.0	-0.52
Derek Anderson	25	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.32	-15	-17	2	17.6	16.0	1.64	12.7	14.2	-1.49
Raymond Felton	51	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.40	-24	-8	-16	16.3	16.5	-0.12	13.9	13.6	0.28
Jeff McInnis	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-19	6	15.9	17.0	-1.03	14.1	13.3	0.78
Emeka Okafor	44	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.34	-25	-7	-18	16.6	16.2	0.42	13.5	14.0	-0.51
Gerald Wallace	55	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.48	-32	0	-32	16.8	15.8	1.02	14.0	13.5	0.51
Jason Richardson	52	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.38	-29	-3	-26	16.7	16.1	0.58	14.0	13.6	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 113, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
SEA 138, VAN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
BOS 115, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%