NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	10.2 [59]		MVP	Justin Anderson (PHI): +33.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	3.6 [318]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -33.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Thomas	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	16	62%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kristaps Porzingis	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	12	60%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Justin Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.23,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	13	51%	0.05	3	-0.08	13	77%	0.00
Marshall Plumlee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	0.05	-0.14	0.01	13	57%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.33	-0.06	-0.28	-0.00	18	43%	-0.27	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.20	0.01	12	79%	0.35	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	83%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dario Saric	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.22,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	14	55%	0.22	1	-0.16	10	60%	-0.07
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	11	45%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sofoklis Schortsanitis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.07	-0.00	5	8%	-0.12	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.27	-0.27	0.00	-0.26	0.01	9	59%	0.03	4	-0.30	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.4	30.1	15.5	26.5	2.3	41.5	147.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +98.0%

NYK -32.8%

PHI +31.4%

NYK -45.5%

NYK -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	14.8	102.0	105.0	107.7
season	15.0	14.5		106.6	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.7		107.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.3	17.0	13.9	13.5	14.4
PHI	14.4	13.0	15.4	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kristaps Porzingis	65	63	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.41	16	-19	35	13.6	15.8	-2.14	15.3	12.8	2.51
Courtney Lee	75	76	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.35	12	-15	27	14.3	14.6	-0.35	15.3	11.7	3.51
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	10	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	13.8	14.4	-0.64	10.8	14.9	-4.05
Justin Holiday	41	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.29	-15	12	-27	14.5	14.3	0.22	13.5	15.0	-1.57
Derrick Rose	79	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-9	15	14.1	15.3	-1.21	14.5	14.1	0.35
Marshall Plumlee	7	7	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	6	-15	16.0	14.3	1.74	11.3	14.7	-3.37
Kyle O'Quinn	34	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	8	-19	15.9	13.6	2.23	13.2	15.1	-1.96
Carmelo Anthony	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.54	5	-8	13	13.8	16.2	-2.37	14.6	13.8	0.83
Ron Baker	29	28	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	8	-19	15.4	14.0	1.41	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Lance Thomas	85	86	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.55	-4	1	-5	14.7	12.4	2.33	14.5	14.0	0.49

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	52	52	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.81	1	2	-1	13.6	15.3	-1.64	14.1	14.7	-0.55
Jahlil Okafor	41	42	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	-7	17	13.8	14.8	-1.00	14.5	14.3	0.12
Dario Saric	55	57	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.57	-7	10	-17	15.5	13.1	2.34	13.8	15.2	-1.37
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	-6	15	14.0	14.9	-0.83	14.9	13.9	0.99
Richaun Holmes	53	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.50	-7	10	-17	14.9	13.9	0.99	14.4	14.4	0.00
Robert Covington	77	77	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	0	3	14.2	15.1	-0.87	13.9	16.0	-2.16
Sergio Rodriguez	34	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	-11	25	13.2	15.0	-1.80	15.5	13.8	1.70
T.J. McConnell	66	67	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.46	-11	14	-25	15.0	13.2	1.80	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Nik Stauskas	61	62	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.31	9	-6	15	14.5	14.3	0.23	15.1	13.2	1.97
Sofoklis Schortsanitis	9	8	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	9	-15	15.9	14.3	1.61	16.1	14.2	1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.63,0.7,0.53,0.78,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.63,0.77,0.42,1	89.9%
MEM 95, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	89.1%
BOS 102, SAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.41,1	89.0%