NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	4.2 [972]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +12.2%
Sacramento Kings	88		Comeback	2.0 [750]		LVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): -12.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	19	67%	0.15	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Andrew Wiggins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.00	22	52%	0.10	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	15	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	35%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	0.00	-0.03	8	11%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	8	78%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georgios Papagiannis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.05	12	54%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	11	47%	-0.01	4	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Ty Lawson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	13	41%	0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	4	-0.09	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	29.7	15.3	25.3	2.5	26.6	126.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +21.2%

SAC -2.0%

MIN +14.1%

MIN +17.7%

SAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	14.8	104.1	91.7	107.7
season	15.3	15.4		109.3	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.7		110.0	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	13.4	16.1	18.4	15.1
SAC	15.6	13.3	13.9	15.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	71	70	0.74	-0.24	0.97	-0.06	27	-13	40	14.8	15.8	-1.04	15.3	12.9	2.33
Tyus Jones	55	54	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.05	23	-9	32	15.4	14.6	0.85	14.3	15.1	-0.84
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	77	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-2	18	15.4	13.7	1.64	14.3	16.1	-1.85
Shabazz Muhammad	33	31	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	3	8	13.4	15.9	-2.51	15.1	14.4	0.74
Ricky Rubio	62	62	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	7	0	15.9	13.6	2.34	14.7	14.4	0.33
Kris Dunn	38	35	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	10	-6	14.3	15.6	-1.30	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Andrew Wiggins	69	69	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	12	-10	15.5	14.1	1.41	14.6	14.7	-0.16
Cole Aldrich	3	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	16	-18	7.7	15.3	-7.63	15.0	14.6	0.39
Brandon Rush	39	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	22	-30	15.2	15.0	0.24	14.8	14.5	0.32
Gorgui Dieng	41	41	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.14	-10	24	-34	14.9	15.2	-0.23	14.4	14.8	-0.37

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	10.0	14.8	-4.77	23.5	14.7	8.80
Georgios Papagiannis	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	10.0	14.8	-4.77	23.5	14.7	8.80
Skal Labissiere	26	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-16	18	13.9	14.9	-1.02	16.0	14.7	1.38
Darren Collison	61	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-14	14	14.4	15.0	-0.59	14.6	15.8	-1.13
Ben McLemore	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-13	12	14.0	15.3	-1.39	15.5	14.6	0.85
Willie Cauley-Stein	69	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-8	2	14.5	14.9	-0.37	15.4	14.1	1.31
Anthony Tolliver	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	1	-16	16.2	13.4	2.79	13.1	16.5	-3.44
Tyreke Evans	49	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-1	-12	15.9	13.3	2.64	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Kosta Koufos	51	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-2	-10	14.1	15.2	-1.08	14.9	15.2	-0.25
Buddy Hield	52	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	0	-14	15.2	14.0	1.15	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Ty Lawson	73	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	3	-20	14.2	16.0	-1.75	15.2	14.7	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
BOS 106, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
SAC 114, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%