NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	117		Excitement	6.6 [536]		MVP	Lou Williams (HOU): +24.2%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	5.7 [42]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): -18.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	7	64%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.15	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	13	66%	0.21	3	-0.06	12	100%	0.04
Rodney Stuckey	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.10	-0.02	15	52%	0.18	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rakeem Christmas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson III	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.06	16	44%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	10	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05
Monta Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.08	6	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.07	0.04	15	74%	0.26	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.04
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.02	-0.06	17	49%	0.16	2	-0.05	17	82%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.10	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.04	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	35%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	10	27%	-0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.6	33.6	15.0	26.0	3.0	40.3	147.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +68.5%

HOU -14.9%

IND +0.9%

HOU -4.0%

HOU -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	13.6	14.8	113.6	105.9	107.7
season	14.9	13.7		107.5	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.3	15.4	13.3	16.1	14.5
HOU	13.4	14.0	14.3	12.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	67	68	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.04	24	-15	39	14.5	14.4	0.11	14.0	12.9	1.04
Rakeem Christmas	42	42	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.04	19	-10	29	14.4	14.6	-0.22	14.4	13.0	1.40
Rodney Stuckey	51	48	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.05	21	-12	33	13.6	15.3	-1.70	13.7	13.5	0.19
Jeff Teague	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	14.9	13.4	1.46	13.8	13.1	0.73
Lavoy Allen	45	46	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-5	19	14.7	14.3	0.32	14.0	13.3	0.64
Thaddeus Young	51	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	13	-17	14.1	14.9	-0.81	13.8	13.4	0.46
Paul George	62	63	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	14	-19	15.3	13.2	2.14	13.2	14.3	-1.09
Glenn Robinson III	22	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	12	-15	12.8	14.9	-2.12	13.4	13.7	-0.23
Myles Turner	61	60	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.20	-10	19	-29	14.6	14.4	0.22	13.0	14.4	-1.40
CJ Miles	38	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.36	-19	28	-47	14.7	14.4	0.36	12.5	14.2	-1.72

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	52	53	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.33	14	-23	37	12.9	14.3	-1.36	14.8	14.2	0.55
Ryan Anderson	51	51	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.11	3	-12	15	13.5	13.7	-0.24	14.1	14.9	-0.81
Patrick Beverley	61	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.46	14	-23	37	12.8	14.8	-2.00	15.1	13.5	1.65
Trevor Ariza	78	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-9	9	13.5	13.9	-0.35	14.5	14.4	0.09
Montrezl Harrell	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-1	-7	15.2	13.5	1.78	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Sam Dekker	24	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	0	-9	13.9	13.5	0.35	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Nene	40	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-13	4	-17	14.1	13.3	0.77	14.0	14.8	-0.75
James Harden	81	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	0	-9	14.1	11.7	2.38	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Lou Williams	59	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	4	-17	13.4	13.8	-0.40	15.2	13.5	1.68
Eric Gordon	56	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.17	-24	15	-39	14.1	13.0	1.11	13.6	15.6	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.4%
NYK 97, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0	92.4%
MIL 111, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.03,0,0.01,0	91.0%