NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	7.5 [369]		MVP	George Hill (UTA): +41.8%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	12.4 [212]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -14.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	10	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.01	9	65%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	57%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kemba Walker	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	17	49%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	9	55%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Frank Kaminsky	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14	0.02	-0.16	0.00	15	50%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.25	0.18	0.02	11	96%	0.42	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.18	0.17	0.02	20	72%	0.37	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.02	12	75%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	44%	-0.04	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.10
Joe Ingles	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	9	15%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	26.4	14.4	26.0	1.8	30.2	126.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +53.7%

CHA -14.8%

UTA +14.4%

CHA -3.7%

UTA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	UTA	NBA	CHA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	14.5	14.8	102.1	109.4	107.7
season	15.1	16.1		107.9	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.8		105.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.1	15.8	15.3	16.7	15.5
UTA	14.7	16.2	14.7	12.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	31	32	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.16	4	-11	15	15.3	15.6	-0.30	13.1	15.3	-2.17
Miles Plumlee	37	36	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.18	-4	-3	-1	15.1	15.7	-0.57	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Treveon Graham	6	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-3	-1	14.7	15.5	-0.84	15.4	14.5	0.91
Kemba Walker	69	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.43	9	-16	25	15.0	16.7	-1.73	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Marco Belinelli	50	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	4	-15	15.2	15.7	-0.50	13.3	15.8	-2.52
Frank Kaminsky	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-10	13	16.1	14.4	1.71	14.9	13.9	1.07
Brian Roberts	27	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	9	-25	16.7	15.0	1.73	14.6	14.5	0.13
Marvin Williams	75	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.50	1	-8	9	15.2	16.5	-1.30	14.9	13.0	1.90
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	56	56	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	-1	-5	16.0	14.7	1.21	15.2	13.6	1.61
Nicolas Batum	67	66	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.46	-11	4	-15	15.3	15.8	-0.43	14.9	13.7	1.22

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	59	60	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.24	20	-13	33	13.7	15.9	-2.24	16.1	14.4	1.67
George Hill	64	63	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.47	10	-3	13	14.8	13.9	0.91	15.7	14.9	0.84
Gordon Hayward	73	73	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-1	9	15.1	12.7	2.37	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Joe Ingles	60	59	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	2	3	14.3	14.9	-0.51	16.1	14.5	1.54
Rudy Gobert	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	7	-7	14.5	14.9	-0.44	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Derrick Favors	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.17	7	0	7	14.9	14.5	0.44	15.5	15.5	0.02
Trey Lyles	23	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.13	2	5	-3	15.0	14.4	0.66	13.5	16.0	-2.48
Dante Exum	44	46	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.20	1	6	-5	13.7	15.2	-1.50	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Alec Burks	40	40	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.28	0	7	-7	14.1	14.8	-0.67	15.1	15.7	-0.66
Boris Diaw	21	21	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.16	-18	25	-43	16.5	14.0	2.54	14.7	15.7	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.09,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.66,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.77,0.68,0.82,1	89.7%
WAS 104, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.25,0.54,0.76,0.9,1	89.4%
POR 90, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.23,0.1,0.24,0.39,0.19,0.54,0.84,1,1	88.9%