NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	113		Excitement	7.4 [381]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): +60.1%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	343.8 [3]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): -32.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.60	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.25,0.45,0.46,0.6	0.22	0.40	0.02	18	77%	0.67	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	13	83%	0.22	5	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.08	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.05	0.05	6	83%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	0.05	7	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	10	10%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.04	-0.03	12	20%	-0.11	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.03	0.02	11	81%	0.18	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.02	0.02	0.16	-0.14	-0.00	23	61%	0.09	4	-0.07	21	76%	-0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	12	46%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	0.03	14	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32	-0.32	-0.13	-0.19	0.00	12	12%	-0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	28.8	16.8	31.2	0.3	32.8	138.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +78.7%

ATL +3.1%

HOU -4.8%

HOU -25.7%

HOU -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	13.5	13.5	14.8	106.6	100.9	107.7
season	14.4	13.7		104.2	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	13.2	12.0	14.0	13.5
HOU	11.6	15.0	12.8	14.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Delaney	57	56	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.30	22	-17	39	13.3	13.8	-0.44	13.4	13.7	-0.31
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	74	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-10	25	13.6	13.5	0.12	13.9	12.6	1.34
DeAndre' Bembry	48	48	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.28	16	-11	27	13.4	13.7	-0.30	13.3	13.7	-0.42
Dwight Howard	82	85	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-4	13	13.6	13.3	0.32	13.9	11.9	2.07
Kent Bazemore	67	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-4	13	13.8	13.1	0.65	14.1	12.4	1.72
Mike Muscala	44	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	9	-13	13.6	13.5	0.17	12.7	14.0	-1.26
Mike Dunleavy	49	49	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	12	-19	13.3	13.7	-0.39	12.8	14.1	-1.27
Dennis Schroder	46	47	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	0.02	-16	21	-37	13.6	13.5	0.16	13.6	13.4	0.20
Paul Millsap	66	66	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	-0.06	-19	24	-43	13.5	13.6	-0.14	13.1	14.2	-1.16

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	75	73	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-9	13	13.5	13.6	-0.17	14.0	12.4	1.62
Sam Dekker	28	28	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.07	1	-6	7	12.1	14.0	-1.84	12.8	13.8	-1.02
Corey Brewer	24	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	1	-7	12.7	13.7	-1.03	14.6	13.3	1.31
Nene	38	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.21	-10	5	-15	13.3	13.6	-0.33	12.7	14.0	-1.33
Trevor Ariza	82	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.53	5	-10	15	13.7	13.0	0.66	13.3	14.3	-0.97
James Harden	86	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-6	7	13.4	13.8	-0.38	13.4	13.9	-0.46
Clint Capela	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.56	5	-10	15	13.6	13.3	0.33	14.0	12.7	1.33
Eric Gordon	67	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.24	-11	6	-17	13.8	13.0	0.85	13.1	14.3	-1.14
Patrick Beverley	66	67	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.38	-14	9	-23	14.0	12.7	1.33	13.8	13.2	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.86,0.9,0.63,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.75,0.78,0.33,0.27,0	92.2%
PHX 103, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.85,0.73,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.58,0	91.2%
DAL 88, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.69,0.64,0.32,0.28,0	91.1%