NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	93		Excitement	3.1 [1168]		MVP	Goran Dragic (MIA): +13.5%
Miami Heat	116		Comeback	1.3 [746]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -5.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Muscala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	80%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	0.00	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	31%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.00	0.06	13	77%	0.16	2	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	13	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	15	67%	0.09	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.04	13	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Okaro White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	11	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	26.4	14.8	25.1	2.4	32.7	126.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +39.3%

ATL -6.4%

MIA +9.2%

MIA +6.6%

MIA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	13.6	15.6	14.8	94.9	117.2	107.7
season	14.4	15.4		104.2	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.9		105.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	15.0	12.2	12.1	13.6
MIA	14.1	16.3	15.0	17.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-28	33	12.3	13.8	-1.48	16.8	15.5	1.30
Lamar Patterson	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-23	23	12.1	14.1	-2.03	17.4	15.1	2.35
Mike Scott	27	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-23	23	12.9	13.9	-1.02	16.9	15.2	1.67
Kris Humphries	31	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-17	11	14.2	13.3	0.88	16.1	15.4	0.68
DeAndre' Bembry	42	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-16	9	13.7	13.5	0.26	16.6	14.9	1.67
Mike Dunleavy	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-16	9	13.8	13.5	0.32	17.3	14.6	2.68
Kent Bazemore	50	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-12	1	13.7	13.5	0.14	14.7	16.5	-1.83
Dwight Howard	53	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-12	1	13.8	13.4	0.40	15.0	16.4	-1.45
Malcolm Delaney	20	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	-10	-3	15.4	13.1	2.27	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Mike Muscala	29	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.22	-18	-5	-13	13.3	13.7	-0.35	16.9	15.1	1.78
Paul Millsap	50	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	-8	-7	13.8	13.3	0.51	14.2	17.2	-2.92
Tim Hardaway Jr.	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-7	-9	13.5	13.7	-0.26	14.9	16.6	-1.67
Dennis Schroder	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-7	-9	13.5	13.7	-0.26	14.9	16.6	-1.67

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	63	64	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.47	33	-10	43	15.2	16.3	-1.10	13.4	14.0	-0.58
James Johnson	47	44	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	14	-5	15.9	15.4	0.49	14.5	12.9	1.57
Hassan Whiteside	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.40	25	-2	27	15.0	16.9	-1.94	13.2	14.3	-1.12
Tyler Johnson	68	65	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.14	16	7	9	16.0	14.8	1.26	13.4	14.0	-0.57
Rodney McGruder	61	63	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.31	20	3	17	15.1	16.5	-1.36	13.0	14.6	-1.52
Goran Dragic	61	59	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	20	-17	15.2	16.4	-1.23	14.1	12.8	1.28
Willie Reed	34	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	25	-27	16.9	15.0	1.94	14.3	13.2	1.12
Wayne Ellington	51	50	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	17	-11	16.8	14.4	2.41	14.0	13.2	0.83
Luke Babbitt	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	15	-7	14.7	16.3	-1.67	13.2	13.9	-0.70
Okaro White	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	26	-29	22.5	15.3	7.15	11.2	13.7	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
WAS 83, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NOK 78, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%