NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	113		Excitement	7.8 [297]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHA): +27.3%
Charlotte Hornets	103		Comeback	4.1 [660]		LVP	Frank Kaminsky (CHA): -14.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.25	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.06,0,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.07	0.20	0.02	20	66%	0.44	6	-0.18	10	100%	0.11
Klay Thompson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.01	14	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.06
Stephen Curry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	23	61%	0.21	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.10	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Patrick McCaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.18	0.00	5	82%	0.29	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.15
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	12	60%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	23	50%	0.15	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	13	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	27.4	15.7	28.8	2.6	36.2	139.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.0%

CHA -16.8%

GSW +14.1%

GSW +6.3%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	12.9	16.5	14.8	115.3	105.1	107.7
season	13.5	15.1		114.9	107.9
opponent	14.8	15.1		107.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.8	14.8	12.0	13.4	12.9
CHA	15.8	15.8	15.7	18.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	62	62	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.19	25	-15	40	12.6	13.5	-0.95	16.5	16.5	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	34	33	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-4	18	14.8	11.9	2.90	18.0	15.7	2.32
Draymond Green	74	74	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.26	12	-2	14	13.1	12.5	0.51	16.4	16.7	-0.27
Stephen Curry	75	76	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	10	-10	12.6	13.9	-1.29	15.9	18.4	-2.51
James Michael McAdoo	42	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	3	4	13.0	12.9	0.12	17.0	16.1	0.87
Kevin Durant	74	76	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	11	-12	12.9	13.1	-0.26	16.3	16.9	-0.58
JaVale McGee	11	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	8	-6	10.6	13.2	-2.58	14.8	16.7	-1.85
Patrick McCaw	27	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	13	-16	11.5	13.5	-2.00	15.2	16.9	-1.72
Klay Thompson	65	65	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.20	5	5	0	13.3	12.2	1.03	16.9	15.6	1.24
Zaza Pachulia	26	27	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.01	-11	21	-32	13.5	12.7	0.73	16.9	16.3	0.54

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	35	35	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.01	9	-19	28	16.7	16.3	0.31	12.9	13.0	-0.11
Kemba Walker	79	79	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-13	16	16.0	18.4	-2.37	12.7	14.1	-1.39
Frank Kaminsky	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-1	-8	16.4	16.5	-0.15	11.9	13.6	-1.69
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	70	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-8	6	17.0	15.1	1.84	13.1	12.5	0.65
Marvin Williams	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-9	8	16.5	16.4	0.15	13.6	11.9	1.69
Ramon Sessions	19	19	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	3	-16	18.4	16.0	2.37	14.1	12.7	1.39
Spencer Hawes	59	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	4	-18	16.2	16.8	-0.64	12.7	13.2	-0.46
Nicolas Batum	78	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-3	-4	15.9	18.5	-2.56	13.4	11.2	2.15
Marco Belinelli	52	52	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.26	-16	6	-22	16.7	16.2	0.50	12.2	13.7	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.39,0.32,0.1,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.65,0.78,0.83,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.04,0,0	92.5%
DAL 106, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.47,0.34,0.2,0.01,0.03,0,0	91.7%
UTA 101, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.82,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.33,0.2,0.05,0.03,0.16,0	91.2%