inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 78 Excitement3.6 [1076] MVPKemba Walker (CHA): +20.4%
Charlotte Hornets 113 Comeback1.1 [758] LVPMarco Belinelli (CHA): -5.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.03-0.00-0.02865%0.082-0.031100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.020.061856%0.071-0.027100%0.02
Jakob Poeltl0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Fred VanVleet0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06617%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pascal Siakam-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.000.021757%0.064-0.08683%0.02
Jared Sullinger-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02530%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Norman Powell-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.06922%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.03928%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.04520%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.02-0.04714%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.260.060.111686%0.252-0.05580%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.02-0.01669%0.091-0.01475%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.000.02671%0.0500.002100%0.01
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.000.031067%0.051-0.004100%0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01944%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.020.05859%0.031-0.021100%0.00
Treveon Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03250%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.061148%0.075-0.10580%-0.01
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.040.000.02737%-0.041-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.91.630.515.524.32.525.6122.9
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +48.1%
TOR -2.0%
CHA +10.2%
TOR -8.6%
CHA +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHANBATORCHANBA
this game15.715.214.883.9121.5107.7
season15.215.1110.0107.9
opponent14.814.9107.9106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR18.315.015.414.515.7
CHA14.515.015.915.515.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fred VanVleet990.00-0.500.500.09-3-322914.915.8-0.9315.415.20.23
Jared Sullinger3333-0.07-0.430.370.26-11-241315.415.9-0.5215.615.00.57
Terrence Ross5254-0.07-0.430.350.40-16-19315.615.9-0.3115.614.70.85
Cory Joseph4041-0.09-0.410.320.29-13-22915.815.70.1214.815.6-0.73
Pascal Siakam3635-0.13-0.370.240.25-13-22915.615.8-0.2916.114.71.45
Jakob Poeltl1818-0.14-0.360.230.22-12-231114.216.1-1.8715.515.20.33
Jonas Valanciunas4949-0.17-0.330.150.12-10-251516.514.91.5614.715.9-1.23
Kyle Lowry6767-0.33-0.17-0.150.32-22-13-915.815.50.2715.414.90.44
DeMarre Carroll4949-0.37-0.13-0.240.22-20-15-516.215.20.9114.715.9-1.19
Norman Powell5352-0.550.05-0.610.21-26-9-1715.316.2-0.9115.015.5-0.49
DeMar DeRozan5958-0.580.08-0.660.27-29-6-2316.015.30.6915.315.10.29

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist58590.58-0.080.66-0.272962315.315.10.2916.015.30.69
Kemba Walker55560.490.010.48-0.2224111315.015.5-0.4915.216.5-1.25
Cody Zeller44460.400.100.30-0.131817115.415.10.3715.815.60.19
Nicolas Batum71700.340.160.18-0.312213915.414.80.5515.715.7-0.01
Frank Kaminsky52540.310.190.11-0.522872114.915.6-0.7114.817.1-2.32
Marvin Williams41390.190.31-0.11-0.01728-2115.614.90.7117.114.82.32
Marco Belinelli44450.120.38-0.25-0.341619-315.115.4-0.3215.815.70.13
Roy Hibbert39370.100.40-0.30-0.251223-1114.815.5-0.6715.815.70.04
Treveon Graham10100.000.50-0.50-0.15530-2515.915.20.7415.215.8-0.60
Brian Roberts10100.000.50-0.50-0.15530-2515.915.20.7415.215.8-0.60
Spencer Hawes10100.000.50-0.50-0.15530-2515.915.20.7415.215.8-0.60
Ramon Sessions4139-0.030.53-0.56-0.29926-1715.115.3-0.1616.115.40.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 80, WAS 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,196.1%
IND 83, MIA 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
LAL 93, OKC 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,195.9%