NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	5.9 [653]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +37.0%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	1.4 [558]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -13.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.37	0.03	0.33	-0.01	21	60%	0.51	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Kelly Olynyk	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.27	0.10	0.02	11	100%	0.34	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Jae Crowder	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.00	-0.03	12	75%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Gerald Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	13	28%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.25	0.26	0.07	0.20	0.01	15	62%	0.31	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.01	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	17	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.12	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	11	50%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	7	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	11	18%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	29.2	15.7	27.0	2.8	31.0	135.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.2%

BOS +5.0%

BOS +8.3%

ATL -2.6%

BOS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	14.8	112.0	107.4	107.7
season	14.7	14.4		110.1	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.9		104.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.3	15.6	16.5	15.5	16.0
ATL	17.1	13.8	15.5	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	63	63	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.21	20	-18	38	15.0	18.0	-2.93	15.2	14.6	0.61
Jae Crowder	65	67	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-13	28	15.1	18.1	-3.05	15.2	14.7	0.50
Al Horford	68	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-11	24	15.1	18.5	-3.38	15.3	14.3	0.92
Isaiah Thomas	73	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-11	24	15.0	19.6	-4.63	15.1	14.8	0.28
Marcus Smart	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	1	0	16.4	14.5	1.85	14.6	16.3	-1.76
Gerald Green	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.18	-7	9	-16	17.8	15.6	2.20	14.9	15.1	-0.18
Jonas Jerebko	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.26	-11	13	-24	18.5	15.1	3.38	14.3	15.3	-0.92
Jaylen Brown	15	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	8	-14	17.7	15.6	2.04	14.4	15.1	-0.78
Amir Johnson	24	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	11	-20	18.5	15.1	3.44	15.4	14.9	0.50
Terry Rozier	43	46	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.39	-19	21	-40	16.9	15.1	1.78	15.2	14.9	0.30

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Delaney	53	51	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.61	23	-25	48	14.1	16.2	-2.04	17.0	14.7	2.34
DeAndre' Bembry	12	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-6	10	14.1	15.2	-1.08	17.0	15.8	1.20
Kris Humphries	7	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-4	6	14.0	15.1	-1.10	17.2	15.8	1.42
Taurean Prince	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-2	2	17.5	14.9	2.59	15.3	16.0	-0.64
Mike Dunleavy	30	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.55	18	-20	38	13.7	15.7	-1.99	17.2	15.4	1.76
Mike Muscala	34	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-6	10	16.1	14.4	1.72	17.8	15.0	2.85
Tim Hardaway Jr.	55	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	15.1	15.0	0.08	16.7	15.0	1.70
Kent Bazemore	61	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-4	6	14.3	16.4	-2.12	15.0	17.7	-2.75
Dwight Howard	48	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	12	-26	15.1	14.9	0.25	14.6	17.4	-2.74
Thabo Sefolosha	45	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	18	-38	16.2	14.0	2.22	15.2	16.8	-1.61
Dennis Schroder	43	44	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.12	-23	21	-44	16.2	14.1	2.10	15.0	16.8	-1.75
Paul Millsap	78	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	8	-18	15.0	15.3	-0.35	15.8	16.5	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0	95.0%
MIA 96, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
POR 93, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.6%