NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	4.0 [999]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +10.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	1.1 [1220]		LVP	Rasual Butler (LAC): -8.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	26	48%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.01	17	62%	0.12	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	65%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	9	59%	0.04	5	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	70%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.03	0.02	14	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	0.06	11	64%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.0	33.5	15.6	21.4	2.4	23.8	120.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.6%

POR +10.3%

POR +2.8%

POR +14.1%

POR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.8	16.5	15.3	106.9	98.8	106.0
season	16.7	15.5		108.8	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		108.5	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	18.1	17.6	17.0	16.8
LAC	16.0	16.1	17.5	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	71	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-4	16	16.3	18.8	-2.49	16.2	18.0	-1.80
Andre Miller	62	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-6	20	15.9	18.9	-3.00	16.1	17.7	-1.56
LaMarcus Aldridge	78	78	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	0	8	16.5	19.1	-2.60	16.5	17.0	-0.54
Marcus Camby	50	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-10	28	16.0	17.8	-1.74	16.5	16.5	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-2	12	16.2	18.0	-1.88	15.7	18.0	-2.30
Rudy Fernandez	31	30	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	8	-8	18.6	15.8	2.79	17.7	15.9	1.77
Juwan Howard	41	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.35	-10	18	-28	17.9	15.8	2.07	16.9	16.2	0.68
Jeff Ayres	5	5	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	8	-8	19.4	16.6	2.78	14.4	16.6	-2.24
Martell Webster	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	14	-20	18.2	16.4	1.76	17.6	16.2	1.44
Jerryd Bayless	20	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.18	-6	14	-20	18.8	16.2	2.62	18.6	16.0	2.58

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	48	48	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.33	14	-22	36	16.5	16.5	0.02	17.9	15.4	2.58
Steve Novak	0	1	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-10	12	0.0	16.5	-16.51	1.0	17.0	-15.97
Mardy Collins	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	18.4	16.3	2.05	19.5	16.5	2.99
Craig Smith	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-11	14	16.0	16.7	-0.66	21.0	15.6	5.40
DeAndre Jordan	39	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.32	8	-16	24	17.5	15.7	1.79	18.2	15.6	2.58
Drew Gooden	60	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	1	-10	15.7	18.3	-2.52	15.5	19.5	-3.96
Eric Gordon	62	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	5	-18	17.0	15.3	1.69	16.0	18.7	-2.66
Baron Davis	70	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	4	-16	16.4	16.9	-0.45	16.3	18.8	-2.49
Rasual Butler	70	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	4	-16	16.0	18.9	-2.98	16.6	17.7	-1.15
Chris Kaman	54	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.08	-22	14	-36	16.8	16.0	0.86	16.2	17.7	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 107, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MIA 92, TOR 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIA 96, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%