inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 95 Excitement7.4 [387] MVPVictor Oladipo (OKC): +9.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 103 Comeback1.0 [1036] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -22.8%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chandler Parsons0.050,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.011258%0.0500.0000%0.00
James Ennis III0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.010.02571%0.051-0.02450%-0.02
Andrew Harrison0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02550%0.0300.002100%0.01
Vince Carter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.010.07-0.050.04669%-0.0100.00450%-0.08
Troy Daniels-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01437%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.010.001348%0.104-0.15367%-0.02
Mike Conley-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.090.01-0.070.032049%0.012-0.10560%-0.03
Tony Allen-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.050.00520%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.050.011233%-0.1100.00333%-0.03
JaMychal Green-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.13-0.06-0.001020%-0.132-0.0600%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Victor Oladipo0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.021070%0.111-0.02367%0.01
Alex Abrines0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.003100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.010.00275%0.0600.004100%0.03
Jerami Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.060.060.070.040.06677%0.081-0.021100%0.00
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.07-0.011849%0.174-0.143100%0.03
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01567%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,00.000.010.000.011344%0.0000.0010%-0.02
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.11-0.090.031945%-0.036-0.201580%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.33.430.415.627.33.343.7147.0
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +36.1%
OKC +20.9%
OKC +5.1%
MEM -9.4%
MEM -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMOKCNBAMEMOKCNBA
this game15.514.314.897.9107.3107.7
season16.114.0106.4107.0
opponent15.114.9106.7106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.917.417.013.415.5
OKC15.115.314.512.814.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Daniels2423-0.03-0.470.43-0.123-111412.516.5-4.0312.315.0-2.74
Tony Allen4444-0.07-0.430.36-0.163-111415.515.50.0115.213.71.51
Andrew Harrison1920-0.12-0.380.27-0.120-8816.215.30.8916.213.82.41
James Ennis III3538-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-7615.715.40.3014.014.6-0.53
Chandler Parsons3835-0.16-0.340.190.02-6-2-416.015.20.8314.914.00.81
Mike Conley7774-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-1-615.216.5-1.3313.816.3-2.56
JaMychal Green6161-0.24-0.260.01-0.07-6-2-416.314.22.1115.113.02.11
Marc Gasol7172-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.17-4-4015.914.31.6214.613.61.01
Zach Randolph5654-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.30-5-3-215.116.0-0.9614.014.8-0.83
Vince Carter6059-0.770.27-1.03-0.27-179-2615.515.5-0.0713.815.3-1.51

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook77770.60-0.100.700.2512-41613.218.8-5.5415.515.6-0.20
Steven Adams79790.54-0.040.580.3080813.916.2-2.2315.515.40.13
Enes Kanter59580.51-0.010.520.249-11014.214.6-0.3616.414.22.20
Andre Roberson63660.420.080.340.169-11013.216.5-3.2215.515.6-0.13
Alex Abrines31340.280.220.060.029-11014.714.20.4915.415.6-0.22
Victor Oladipo65640.220.28-0.060.1917-614.214.7-0.4915.415.7-0.35
Jerami Grant38360.100.40-0.300.16-210-1215.013.91.0414.416.2-1.80
Nick Collison780.030.47-0.44-0.0635-218.014.13.9417.015.41.64
Joffrey Lauvergne2223-0.020.52-0.530.07-311-1415.014.20.7914.415.8-1.45
Domantas Sabonis2020-0.080.58-0.66-0.02-210-1216.613.72.9116.315.31.01
Cameron Payne1920-0.100.60-0.700.02-412-1618.813.25.5415.615.50.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.72,0.59,0.69,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.9,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 111, MIL 1160.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.98,193.5%
PHX 98, GSW 1080.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.99,1,1,193.4%
ORL 89, BOS 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.86,0.78,0.9,0.99,193.4%