inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 95 Excitement6.1 [624] MVPJon Leuer (DET): +24.6%
Dallas Mavericks 85 Comeback6.8 [340] LVPAndre Drummond (DET): -12.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Leuer0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.160.090.00990%0.271-0.023100%0.03
Stanley Johnson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.010.06-0.02458%0.111-0.024100%0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.080.02955%0.101-0.022100%0.00
Aron Baynes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.020.00567%0.081-0.032100%0.02
Marcus Morris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.04-0.011055%0.134-0.112100%0.01
Tobias Harris-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.001048%0.022-0.0510%-0.02
Ish Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00542%0.002-0.06250%-0.01
Reggie Jackson-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.050.031656%0.033-0.09475%0.01
Andre Drummond-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.030.00337%-0.014-0.11250%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Justin Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.05-0.02756%0.0910.00250%-0.02
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.00669%0.121-0.051100%0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00667%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Nicolas Brussino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonathan Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
AJ Hammons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%-0.0000.0020%-0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.00550%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.031853%0.052-0.0700%0.00
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.020.00844%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.01450%0.042-0.0800%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.04-0.011346%0.012-0.069100%0.06
Wesley Matthews0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.03-0.021020%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.625.415.526.21.836.3131.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +45.4%
DET +2.9%
DET +24.2%
DAL -16.9%
DAL -5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDALNBADETDALNBA
this game14.817.014.8104.494.4107.7
season15.016.2105.0104.4
opponent14.715.1107.2106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.115.115.014.214.8
DAL17.617.618.514.617.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Leuer58560.93-0.431.370.2025-154014.814.8-0.0017.216.60.60
Aron Baynes36360.51-0.010.51-0.0218-82614.215.3-1.1217.716.51.27
Marcus Morris73720.420.080.350.2564214.516.1-1.5816.419.4-3.07
Stanley Johnson31300.400.100.300.0811-11213.815.4-1.6315.417.8-2.43
Ish Smith34330.290.210.080.0391813.715.5-1.8217.516.70.74
Reggie Jackson57570.210.29-0.080.1819-815.513.71.8216.717.5-0.74
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope67670.110.39-0.270.11010-1015.114.11.0416.917.3-0.48
Andre Drummond5150-0.010.51-0.520.23-818-2615.613.91.6417.216.70.52
Tobias Harris4849-0.370.87-1.25-0.02-1222-3415.414.31.1218.015.82.22

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorian Finney-Smith56550.18-0.680.86-0.089-192816.917.1-0.2115.214.30.89
Salah Mejri48460.04-0.540.59-0.136-162218.515.23.3315.314.40.88
AJ Hammons44-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-10107.217.4-10.1911.715.0-3.24
Jonathan Gibson44-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-10107.217.4-10.1911.715.0-3.24
Nicolas Brussino44-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-10107.217.4-10.1911.715.0-3.24
Wesley Matthews6969-0.05-0.450.39-0.112-121417.315.91.4115.114.20.88
Deron Williams6667-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.19-5-5017.216.50.6715.114.11.04
Devin Harris2425-0.33-0.17-0.170.05-133-1618.516.42.1214.614.9-0.34
Harrison Barnes7070-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.31-3-7417.016.80.1814.715.2-0.51
Justin Anderson2526-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.09-133-1616.417.2-0.7614.814.8-0.00
Dwight Powell3841-0.540.04-0.59-0.07-166-2216.117.7-1.6214.715.0-0.34
Seth Curry4244-0.600.10-0.69-0.10-177-2417.516.50.9614.515.1-0.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.21,0.12,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 126, LAC 1210.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.02,091.8%
POR 87, CHI 780.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,090.9%
SAS 92, BOS 840.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.48,0.61,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,090.7%