NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	1.5 [737]		MVP	Tobias Harris (DET): +16.8%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	2.0 [765]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (CHI): -15.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	21	62%	0.18	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.05
Cristiano Felicio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.01	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.03	13	53%	0.02	2	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	6	33%	-0.04
Isaiah Canaan	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	10	43%	-0.08	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.07

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.07	0.03	16	65%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	6	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	72%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	9	33%	0.01	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	11	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	33.4	15.6	24.2	2.0	32.4	133.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.3%

CHI -3.8%

DET +11.1%

DET +6.8%

DET +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	15.7	14.8	94.8	107.4	107.7
season	15.1	15.0		105.9	105.0
opponent	15.1	14.8		106.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.3	11.7	14.6	14.7	14.4
DET	15.4	16.7	16.1	14.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	67	66	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.23	8	-19	27	14.1	15.1	-0.99	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Jerian Grant	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-7	3	13.1	14.6	-1.41	16.7	15.6	1.08
Dwyane Wade	69	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-9	7	14.3	14.9	-0.61	15.4	16.5	-1.06
Jimmy Butler	86	86	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-8	5	14.7	12.5	2.17	15.4	18.6	-3.14
Taj Gibson	60	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	15.1	13.4	1.69	14.6	17.6	-3.01
Nikola Mirotic	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	13.5	15.3	-1.83	17.0	14.6	2.48
Rajon Rondo	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.16	-10	-1	-9	14.6	13.9	0.70	15.5	16.6	-1.16
Cristiano Felicio	29	28	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	6	-23	15.1	14.1	0.99	16.1	15.5	0.61
Isaiah Canaan	44	44	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	1	-13	14.3	14.5	-0.20	17.1	14.5	2.52

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	45	45	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-6	23	15.9	15.5	0.37	14.8	14.1	0.75
Darrun Hilliard	30	31	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-6	23	17.3	15.0	2.32	15.3	14.0	1.29
Ish Smith	58	58	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.22	14	-3	17	16.2	15.0	1.17	14.4	14.6	-0.17
Aron Baynes	46	45	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-5	21	16.5	15.0	1.56	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Tobias Harris	81	82	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	3	5	15.5	17.1	-1.67	14.2	15.9	-1.73
Marcus Morris	51	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	8	-5	15.5	15.9	-0.40	15.2	13.5	1.71
Stanley Johnson	13	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	17	-23	17.3	15.5	1.84	11.5	14.9	-3.37
Andre Drummond	49	51	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	16	-21	15.0	16.5	-1.56	14.9	13.9	1.01
Reggie Jackson	37	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	14	-17	15.0	16.2	-1.17	14.6	14.4	0.17
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	65	65	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	17	-23	15.0	17.3	-2.32	14.0	15.3	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.52,0.63,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.5%
BOS 89, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.2%
MIA 97, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.97,1	92.1%