NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	6.0 [632]		MVP	Shabazz Muhammad (MIN): +12.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	2.0 [700]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -16.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	8	81%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.10	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.05	-0.03	10	57%	0.13	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	14	56%	0.08	0	0.00	15	80%	0.02
Shelvin Mack	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	117%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.01	0.08	15	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	12	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.03	0.05	17	65%	0.18	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Cole Aldrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	2	75%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.05	-0.08	0.06	19	47%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.07	0.03	16	41%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	28.4	14.7	26.0	2.7	34.3	131.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.5%

MIN -12.8%

UTA +2.0%

UTA +13.2%

UTA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	14.8	116.7	107.3	107.7
season	16.1	15.3		108.0	109.3
opponent	14.7	15.0		110.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	21.1	14.6	16.0	13.8	16.1
MIN	13.8	13.7	16.0	12.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	69	70	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.02	27	-18	45	15.4	17.9	-2.48	14.0	13.7	0.23
Boris Diaw	57	58	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.08	22	-13	35	15.4	17.1	-1.64	14.3	13.3	1.00
Rudy Gobert	70	68	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-2	13	16.0	16.5	-0.49	14.1	13.4	0.71
George Hill	70	68	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-2	13	16.0	16.5	-0.49	14.1	13.4	0.71
Rodney Hood	65	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	6	-3	16.3	15.8	0.49	14.4	12.9	1.55
Joe Ingles	27	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	8	-7	15.5	16.3	-0.87	14.1	13.8	0.30
Jeff Withey	23	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.08	-1	10	-11	16.5	16.0	0.49	13.0	14.2	-1.25
Shelvin Mack	26	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.13	-2	11	-13	16.5	16.0	0.49	13.4	14.1	-0.71
Joe Johnson	31	31	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	22	-35	17.9	15.3	2.61	12.5	14.6	-2.09
Trey Lyles	42	42	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.10	-14	23	-37	17.0	15.4	1.63	13.5	14.2	-0.62

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	45	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-13	17	15.2	12.7	2.54	18.0	14.4	3.60
Kris Dunn	19	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.06	-4	-5	1	13.3	14.1	-0.79	15.4	16.3	-0.81
Gorgui Dieng	59	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-9	9	14.8	12.4	2.38	17.3	14.3	2.98
Nemanja Bjelica	55	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-14	19	13.0	15.0	-2.01	15.6	16.8	-1.27
Cole Aldrich	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-4	-1	12.6	14.0	-1.45	15.8	16.1	-0.36
Zach LaVine	86	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-7	5	13.9	13.9	-0.00	16.5	12.6	3.92
Shabazz Muhammad	36	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	4	-17	14.5	13.5	0.97	15.1	16.6	-1.48
Andrew Wiggins	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-6	3	13.6	14.7	-1.15	16.1	16.1	0.03
Tyus Jones	32	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.14	-9	0	-9	12.4	14.7	-2.28	13.8	17.3	-3.48
Karl-Anthony Towns	68	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.15	-18	9	-27	14.0	13.7	0.31	15.6	17.4	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.6%
POR 85, DET 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.13,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.0%
SAS 77, NYK 67	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.02,0,0	92.8%