NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	7.1 [437]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): +14.4%
Orlando Magic	87		Comeback	1.8 [409]		LVP	Tyler Ulis (PHX): -19.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	10	65%	0.18	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Marquese Chriss	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	4	83%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Knight	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.06	10	60%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05	-0.08	0.10	-0.02	15	42%	0.13	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.03	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.06	0.03	15	66%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.02	20	54%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.05
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	4	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	11	41%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	9	28%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	11	33%	-0.07	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	7	17%	-0.13	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	26.4	15.6	23.7	0.8	38.2	132.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +72.6%

PHX +16.3%

ORL -16.3%

ORL -23.4%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.8	96.8	91.6	107.7
season	13.9	14.6		105.4	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.5		109.8	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.6	16.3	14.3	16.2	15.1
ORL	15.8	15.6	15.7	13.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	48	49	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-4	13	15.8	14.4	1.43	15.9	14.5	1.42
Devin Booker	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	2	1	14.4	16.9	-2.48	15.4	14.9	0.50
PJ Tucker	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	3	-1	15.8	14.2	1.59	15.7	14.6	1.08
Eric Bledsoe	64	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	4	-3	14.2	16.9	-2.62	15.5	14.6	0.89
Alex Len	68	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	7	-9	15.3	14.6	0.66	15.4	14.7	0.66
Dragan Bender	27	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	-2	9	14.6	15.3	-0.66	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Leandro Barbosa	31	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	1	3	16.9	14.2	2.62	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Tyler Ulis	31	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	1	3	16.9	14.2	2.62	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Brandon Knight	53	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	6	-7	14.3	16.1	-1.73	14.4	16.2	-1.78
Marquese Chriss	35	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	7	-9	14.1	15.7	-1.66	15.0	15.4	-0.38

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	18	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	15.8	15.1	0.77	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Jeff Green	48	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-5	5	14.6	15.8	-1.18	14.1	16.1	-1.98
Mario Hezonja	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-4	3	14.6	15.3	-0.72	17.1	14.9	2.21
Bismack Biyombo	41	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-3	1	16.2	14.5	1.73	16.1	14.3	1.73
Elfrid Payton	60	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-9	13	15.2	15.3	-0.07	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Aaron Gordon	38	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	1	-7	17.0	14.0	2.94	16.1	14.5	1.64
Evan Fournier	69	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.34	2	-7	9	15.3	14.9	0.40	14.7	16.4	-1.70
Nikola Vucevic	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-6	7	14.2	16.9	-2.74	14.6	16.1	-1.53
CJ Watson	28	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	5	-15	15.0	15.3	-0.35	16.5	14.5	1.93
D.J. Augustin	42	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	2	-9	14.3	15.9	-1.62	15.0	15.2	-0.23
Serge Ibaka	62	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	15.5	14.8	0.69	15.1	15.2	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 124, DEN 122	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.41,0.34,0.09,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.16,0	92.3%
LAL 93, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.1,0.18,0.34,0.27,0.15,0.07,0.06,0,0	92.0%
NYK 111, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.41,0.47,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.0%