NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	85		Excitement	9.7 [83]		MVP	Domantas Sabonis (OKC): +17.2%
LA Clippers	83		Comeback	2.4 [295]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -36.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.08	0.11	0.01	3	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	150%	0.17	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kyle Singler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semaj Christon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.02	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Victor Oladipo	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	11	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	5	17%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.13
Russell Westbrook	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.26,-0.34,-0.36,-0.35	-0.14	-0.23	-0.02	30	51%	0.16	10	-0.51	9	78%	0.04

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	9	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.03	4	73%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.11
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	0.00	12	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	11	27%	-0.10	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0,0,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.05	-0.23	-0.00	11	54%	0.03	5	-0.31	6	83%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.14	-0.23	-0.00	21	31%	-0.24	2	-0.13	3	0%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.6	31.5	16.5	26.4	3.3	37.9	145.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +25.7%

OKC +9.8%

OKC +12.8%

LAC -1.9%

OKC +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	13.7	14.4	14.8	84.2	79.8	107.7
season	14.0	15.0		107.0	110.8
opponent	14.8	15.1		106.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.2	13.4	15.8	12.7	13.7
LAC	14.0	14.8	14.2	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	68	72	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-10	22	13.3	14.6	-1.30	14.6	14.0	0.60
Steven Adams	65	68	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-8	18	13.3	14.4	-1.02	14.5	14.1	0.38
Domantas Sabonis	34	37	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-4	10	13.4	13.9	-0.44	15.5	13.8	1.67
Victor Oladipo	68	69	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	14.3	12.5	1.85	14.7	13.9	0.80
Andre Roberson	48	49	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	3	-4	14.5	13.0	1.44	14.9	13.9	1.01
Nick Collison	14	13	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-6	14	14.7	13.5	1.17	17.0	14.0	2.99
Alex Abrines	17	19	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	-2	6	12.2	14.0	-1.84	14.4	14.4	-0.02
Anthony Morrow	20	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	2	-2	12.0	14.1	-2.06	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Jerami Grant	38	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	3	-4	13.3	14.0	-0.71	13.9	14.7	-0.83
Kyle Singler	11	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	6	-10	13.5	13.7	-0.18	12.5	14.6	-2.09
Joffrey Lauvergne	36	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	8	-14	14.4	13.3	1.02	14.2	14.5	-0.26
Semaj Christon	33	32	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	12	-22	14.6	13.3	1.30	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Enes Kanter	53	53	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.03	-14	16	-30	13.6	13.8	-0.17	12.9	15.9	-2.94

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	35	36	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-8	14	13.7	14.7	-1.01	14.4	13.3	1.02
Jamal Crawford	55	57	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.22	11	-13	24	14.5	14.2	0.26	13.5	14.0	-0.45
Brandon Bass	30	32	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.16	8	-10	18	14.1	14.5	-0.40	12.2	14.4	-2.26
Raymond Felton	33	33	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-3	4	14.1	14.5	-0.47	14.2	13.5	0.71
Austin Rivers	42	42	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-5	8	13.5	15.0	-1.56	13.7	13.7	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	2	1	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	3	-8	9.5	14.5	-4.98	11.0	13.7	-2.73
Luc Mbah a Moute	53	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	4	-10	14.5	14.3	0.22	14.1	13.3	0.76
Blake Griffin	72	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	3	-8	14.6	13.8	0.83	14.5	12.1	2.35
Chris Paul	73	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	5	-12	14.3	14.7	-0.42	13.5	14.1	-0.53
DeAndre Jordan	69	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	6	-14	14.7	13.7	1.01	13.3	14.4	-1.02
JJ Redick	56	55	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.49	-8	6	-14	15.2	13.4	1.80	13.5	14.0	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.16,0.02,0	91.9%
POR 100, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.53,0.47,0.28,0.14,0.42,0	90.8%
CHI 90, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.15,0	90.8%