NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	8.7 [185]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +36.9%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	1.8 [796]		LVP	Jeff Teague (IND): -22.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.05	0.12	-0.03	14	63%	0.29	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Tarik Black	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Nick Young	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	6	60%	0.15	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	4	90%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.00	16	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	10	46%	-0.01	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.13,0.36,0.37	0.37	0.07	0.31	0.01	16	68%	0.53	6	-0.16	12	100%	0.05
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	9	80%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.01	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.02	0.03	8	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	15	28%	-0.15	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.4	30.4	15.7	33.3	2.3	36.6	150.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +50.4%

LAL -8.2%

LAL -3.0%

IND +10.1%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	13.5	14.1	14.8	104.9	109.5	107.7
season	14.5	14.9		104.8	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.4		108.0	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	13.8	13.0	12.5	13.5
IND	14.0	14.4	13.1	15.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	40	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-5	3	15.3	12.4	2.91	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Luol Deng	45	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-5	3	14.2	13.0	1.24	13.2	14.9	-1.76
Nick Young	46	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-5	3	14.4	12.9	1.53	13.3	14.8	-1.57
Metta World Peace	5	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-4	1	14.2	13.5	0.69	14.2	14.1	0.03
Julius Randle	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-10	13	12.7	14.2	-1.52	14.3	14.0	0.36
Brandon Ingram	31	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	13.1	13.7	-0.59	14.6	13.9	0.65
D'Angelo Russell	43	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-11	15	12.6	14.2	-1.65	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Tarik Black	38	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-4	1	13.8	13.4	0.43	14.8	13.7	1.06
Lou Williams	56	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-9	11	13.1	14.0	-0.88	14.8	13.3	1.57
Jose Calderon	35	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	4	-15	15.3	12.6	2.73	13.8	14.3	-0.51
Larry Nance Jr.	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	0	-7	12.3	15.6	-3.31	14.3	13.9	0.43
Jordan Clarkson	66	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.25	-11	4	-15	13.2	14.2	-1.01	14.7	13.3	1.37

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	62	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-5	17	13.8	14.6	-0.74	13.3	14.0	-0.75
Paul George	82	81	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-3	13	13.9	15.1	-1.21	13.6	13.4	0.23
Jeff Teague	71	71	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	0	7	13.9	14.7	-0.88	13.6	13.5	0.06
Myles Turner	55	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	3	1	13.5	14.9	-1.37	13.6	13.5	0.02
Monta Ellis	86	83	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	4	-1	14.1	14.3	-0.21	13.0	15.7	-2.68
Lavoy Allen	42	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	5	-3	14.6	13.9	0.71	13.1	13.8	-0.75
Al Jefferson	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	4	-1	14.8	13.9	0.95	13.2	13.7	-0.52
Aaron Brooks	34	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	7	-7	14.7	13.9	0.88	13.5	13.6	-0.06
CJ Miles	47	46	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	9	-11	14.4	13.9	0.55	14.7	12.6	2.00
Kevin Seraphin	17	15	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	11	-15	15.8	13.8	1.94	15.9	13.1	2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.84,1	91.9%
SEA 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.96,1	91.6%
CLE 92, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.55,0.92,1	91.3%