inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 94 Excitement9.4 [104] MVPTristan Thompson (CLE): +15.2%
Toronto Raptors 91 Comeback1.5 [703] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -25.3%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tristan Thompson0.150,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.070.02592%0.1500.00250%-0.02
LeBron James0.110,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.11-0.040.13-0.021654%0.235-0.12771%-0.01
Iman Shumpert0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.030.08-0.02450%0.122-0.05475%0.01
Kevin Love0.030,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.03-0.001553%0.0300.004100%0.02
DeAndre Liggins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JR Smith-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.01850%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01417%-0.0500.00450%-0.03
Mike Dunleavy-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.01425%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Kyrie Irving-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.13,-0.35,-0.06-0.05-0.05-0.042355%0.107-0.171100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.060.00564%0.1100.001100%0.01
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00750%0.0300.002100%0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03757%0.053-0.0500%0.00
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00450%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.05-0.00642%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.050.012850%0.023-0.088100%0.06
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25-0.25-0.12-0.14-0.011533%-0.183-0.0700%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.28,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25-0.25-0.12-0.14-0.011644%-0.066-0.20786%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.33.433.317.425.43.539.3144.5
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +79.6%
TOR -8.5%
TOR -26.3%
TOR -0.3%
CLE +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLETORNBACLETORNBA
this game15.913.614.896.991.9107.7
season14.915.2113.5110.0
opponent14.914.7106.9109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.815.115.216.415.9
TOR14.514.912.113.013.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JR Smith69700.60-0.100.710.378-51315.217.4-2.2113.713.30.35
Kyrie Irving78790.55-0.050.590.318-51315.517.2-1.6214.011.72.33
Tristan Thompson75750.50-0.000.500.384-1516.115.20.8713.513.9-0.42
LeBron James79820.350.150.200.3503-315.616.8-1.2013.314.9-1.60
Kevin Love71740.350.150.200.205-2715.417.2-1.7713.713.20.53
Richard Jefferson39380.080.42-0.340.11-14-517.614.72.9913.913.30.59
Mike Dunleavy32350.030.47-0.450.11-36-915.116.2-1.1813.713.50.29
Iman Shumpert41420.030.47-0.450.20-69-1517.015.11.9012.514.3-1.83
DeAndre Liggins100.020.48-0.460.0203-332.015.716.310.013.6-13.56

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jakob Poeltl22220.21-0.710.92-0.028-111913.513.6-0.0116.315.70.54
Cory Joseph40390.13-0.630.75-0.056-91514.013.30.7516.715.31.36
Terrence Ross2928-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-3314.313.31.0215.915.90.00
Pascal Siakam3333-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-63-913.013.8-0.8314.716.5-1.80
DeMar DeRozan8079-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.350-3313.215.1-1.8515.617.0-1.41
Patrick Patterson6967-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.391-4513.713.20.5116.315.01.29
DeMarre Carroll7574-0.540.04-0.57-0.36-63-913.413.9-0.4815.915.80.10
Kyle Lowry8281-0.590.09-0.69-0.36-85-1313.812.61.1715.716.7-1.07
Jonas Valanciunas6562-0.700.20-0.90-0.41-107-1713.413.9-0.4515.915.70.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.45,0.57,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 92, MIL 900.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.58,092.1%
SEA 108, DEN 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,091.3%
IND 100, MIN 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.42,090.9%