NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	129		Excitement	2.3 [1275]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +13.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.0 [498]		LVP	Tyus Jones (MIN): -5.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.20	0.00	0.07	21	69%	0.17	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.19	0.00	0.13	11	87%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	73%	0.10	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	6	79%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	55%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	80%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	40%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.07	14	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	8	59%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	61%	0.01	2	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	7	60%	0.03	4	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	39%	-0.01	1	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.14	-0.00	0.16	13	70%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	57%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	15	40%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	26.5	15.7	26.3	2.4	29.2	129.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.0%

MIN -0.4%

HOU +9.3%

MIN -0.5%

HOU +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	14.0	13.6	14.9	124.0	100.0	105.1
season	14.0	14.8		105.9	104.8
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.4	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	14.4	13.7	14.0	14.0
MIN	15.0	13.8	12.5	13.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	69	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.39	29	-5	34	13.9	14.2	-0.34	13.2	14.2	-1.00
Dwight Howard	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	6	12	13.7	14.3	-0.58	14.8	12.2	2.62
Patrick Beverley	74	74	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.20	18	6	12	14.3	13.2	1.17	14.1	12.3	1.85
Josh Smith	51	54	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.32	22	2	20	13.6	14.4	-0.85	13.1	14.1	-1.04
Trevor Ariza	62	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.28	19	5	14	13.8	14.3	-0.52	13.6	13.5	0.04
Jason Terry	51	52	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	16	-8	14.2	13.8	0.31	13.1	14.0	-0.88
Corey Brewer	32	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	14	-4	14.4	13.8	0.63	13.8	13.5	0.33
Donatas Motiejunas	41	40	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	16	-8	14.9	13.4	1.41	14.3	13.1	1.15
Clint Capela	35	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.21	12	12	0	14.8	13.6	1.21	11.8	14.6	-2.78
KJ McDaniels	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	30	-36	12.9	14.1	-1.22	13.5	13.6	-0.12
Andrew Goudelock	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	30	-36	12.9	14.1	-1.22	13.5	13.6	-0.12
Terrence Jones	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	30	-36	12.9	14.1	-1.22	13.5	13.6	-0.12
Michael Beasley	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	30	-36	12.9	14.1	-1.22	13.5	13.6	-0.12

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	16	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-25	26	13.1	13.7	-0.59	11.6	14.5	-2.88
Adreian Payne	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-22	20	14.5	13.3	1.20	12.0	14.5	-2.57
Greg Smith	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-22	20	13.2	13.6	-0.42	14.1	14.0	0.11
Tayshaun Prince	28	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-22	20	12.4	14.0	-1.55	17.2	12.9	4.21
Shabazz Muhammad	50	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-19	14	13.1	14.0	-0.96	14.2	13.9	0.31
Tyus Jones	57	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-17	10	12.9	14.3	-1.42	14.0	14.0	0.04
Gorgui Dieng	53	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.26	-17	-7	-10	14.1	13.0	1.08	14.0	14.0	0.04
Nemanja Bjelica	65	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-10	-4	12.9	14.6	-1.72	14.0	14.0	0.00
Ricky Rubio	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.21	-17	-7	-10	14.3	12.9	1.42	14.0	14.0	-0.04
Karl-Anthony Towns	60	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-11	-2	13.5	13.6	-0.07	14.7	13.1	1.61
Zach LaVine	58	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.32	-22	-2	-20	14.1	12.9	1.13	13.8	14.2	-0.43
Andrew Wiggins	58	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.24	-20	-4	-16	14.2	12.8	1.36	13.3	14.8	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
CLE 124, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
MIL 95, CHI 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%