NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Excitement	8.7 [184]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +88.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	3.2 [223]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -15.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.89	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.89	0.12	0.75	-0.01	20	64%	0.92	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	4	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.07	0.02	0.07	0.02	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Shabazz Muhammad	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	13	43%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.01	22	46%	0.07	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	58%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.69	0.69	0.12	0.57	0.00	22	63%	0.78	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.11
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.01	13	60%	0.22	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.03	9	68%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	64%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	9	33%	-0.00	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	26.3	14.5	22.5	2.6	38.5	134.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.4%

POR -32.8%

MIN +10.4%

MIN +32.8%

MIN +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	14.9	114.0	114.1	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		104.8	107.1
opponent	14.6	15.0		106.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.8	16.0	16.5	17.7	15.7
POR	17.9	17.6	13.0	13.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	76	1.03	-0.53	1.57	1.15	-4	5	-9	15.7	15.8	-0.07	14.9	18.1	-3.27
Tayshaun Prince	42	41	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-7	15	16.8	14.8	2.05	16.0	14.9	1.08
Shabazz Muhammad	33	31	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.00	10	-9	19	16.5	15.3	1.15	17.1	14.6	2.52
Tyus Jones	29	26	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	-7	15	16.2	15.5	0.77	18.0	14.4	3.59
Ricky Rubio	64	66	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.43	-7	8	-15	15.5	16.2	-0.77	14.4	18.0	-3.59
Andrew Wiggins	64	65	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.43	-8	9	-17	15.3	16.6	-1.27	14.2	18.3	-4.07
Nemanja Bjelica	53	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.48	16	-15	31	16.9	14.2	2.69	17.0	13.4	3.63
Zach LaVine	55	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.33	-12	13	-25	15.0	16.7	-1.74	14.7	16.4	-1.69
Gorgui Dieng	49	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	7	-13	14.3	17.2	-2.92	15.4	15.4	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	62	62	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.20	11	-12	23	15.0	16.3	-1.30	15.8	15.5	0.29
CJ McCollum	69	71	0.44	-0.94	1.37	0.20	8	-9	17	14.8	17.4	-2.68	15.6	16.1	-0.56
Noah Vonleh	15	16	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-2	3	19.3	14.7	4.59	15.1	15.8	-0.71
Ed Davis	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	9	-19	16.8	14.8	2.05	15.8	15.7	0.18
Damian Lillard	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.53	7	-8	15	15.0	16.9	-1.85	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Al-Farouq Aminu	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-1	1	14.3	18.2	-3.96	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Allen Crabbe	52	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	10	-21	16.4	14.1	2.30	16.0	15.3	0.66
Maurice Harkless	60	61	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-1.04	6	-7	13	14.8	16.5	-1.70	15.5	16.2	-0.73
Gerald Henderson	35	35	-1.13	0.63	-1.77	-0.63	-17	16	-33	17.2	14.4	2.82	16.1	15.4	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.1,0.09,0	93.0%
CHH 95, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	92.7%
LAC 99, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0,0	92.6%