NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	6.1 [612]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): +24.3%
Detroit Pistons	112		Comeback	1.1 [906]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): -16.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.08	-0.00	20	59%	0.22	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	4	87%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Nene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	9	59%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Otto Porter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	22	50%	0.08	6	-0.17	6	50%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	9	44%	-0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.24	0.06	0.05	20	83%	0.40	5	-0.15	7	100%	0.08
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.11	0.04	4	67%	0.14	0	0.00	10	100%	0.08
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.02	9	71%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	8	37%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	76%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.08
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	27.2	16.7	25.1	1.0	38.5	133.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +27.1%

DET +24.7%

WAS -3.8%

DET +5.4%

WAS -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	14.9	103.1	116.7	105.1
season	13.8	15.0		104.1	104.9
opponent	15.1	15.1		105.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	13.3	15.6	15.9	14.6
DET	14.6	15.5	16.4	15.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	45	44	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-15	17	13.4	15.5	-2.13	15.5	15.4	0.10
Alan Anderson	41	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-16	19	13.4	15.4	-1.94	15.1	15.7	-0.53
Garrett Temple	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-19	25	14.5	14.6	-0.12	15.7	15.3	0.41
Jared Dudley	24	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-15	17	13.8	14.8	-1.01	15.8	15.3	0.51
Otto Porter	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.07	-10	-3	-7	14.6	14.5	0.13	15.5	15.3	0.21
Ramon Sessions	64	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-4	-5	14.3	15.1	-0.86	15.9	14.6	1.33
Markieff Morris	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	2	-17	14.8	13.9	0.84	15.4	15.7	-0.27
Marcin Gortat	50	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	2	-17	15.6	13.4	2.27	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Bradley Beal	80	81	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.00	-29	16	-45	15.3	10.6	4.79	15.1	17.5	-2.47

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	65	69	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.15	21	-8	29	15.6	15.1	0.47	15.1	13.0	2.11
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	74	73	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.03	25	-12	37	15.1	16.5	-1.36	15.0	13.0	2.04
Tobias Harris	72	72	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.06	24	-11	35	14.9	17.0	-2.01	15.3	12.3	2.96
Marcus Morris	75	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	0	13	15.7	14.7	0.94	14.7	14.1	0.54
Andre Drummond	50	52	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	5	3	15.7	15.2	0.57	14.8	14.3	0.52
Aron Baynes	46	44	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	8	-3	15.2	15.7	-0.57	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Reggie Bullock	43	41	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.09	-12	25	-37	15.6	15.3	0.33	13.5	15.3	-1.86
Anthony Tolliver	24	24	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.06	-11	24	-35	17.0	14.9	2.01	12.3	15.3	-2.96
Steve Blake	31	27	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	21	-29	15.1	15.6	-0.47	13.0	15.1	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1	92.4%
CLE 92, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.0%
SAC 108, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.96,0.97,1,1	91.9%