NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	9.3 [119]		MVP	Lance Stephenson (MEM): +27.7%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	5.1 [304]		LVP	Brandon Knight (PHX): -16.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28	0.06	0.21	-0.00	8	80%	0.43	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Ryan Hollins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Xavier Munford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray McCallum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	39%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	15	47%	0.08	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	12	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	11	48%	-0.04	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	13	53%	0.15	2	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.10	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	45%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	45%	0.07	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.06
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.10	-0.04	11	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.06
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.1,0.01,-0.05,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	17	36%	-0.04	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	30.9	14.8	27.2	2.3	34.0	136.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +15.1%

PHX -9.7%

MEM +24.6%

MEM +17.4%

MEM +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	14.3	14.9	104.0	97.0	105.1
season	15.7	14.4		103.4	100.9
opponent	14.4	14.8		107.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.6	15.0	14.0	14.1	14.7
PHX	15.0	13.2	13.2	15.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	57	60	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-10	26	13.7	16.0	-2.30	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Jordan Farmar	46	47	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	0	6	14.3	15.0	-0.66	15.0	13.7	1.30
Lance Stephenson	46	45	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	1	4	14.7	14.7	-0.05	14.6	14.0	0.60
Matt Barnes	71	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	0	6	14.4	15.4	-0.95	14.4	13.9	0.52
Zach Randolph	65	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-4	14	14.1	15.9	-1.79	14.0	14.7	-0.64
JaMychal Green	45	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	4	-2	15.2	14.2	1.00	13.8	14.7	-0.83
Xavier Munford	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	3	0	15.4	14.5	0.86	15.7	13.9	1.81
Ray McCallum	53	53	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	6	-6	15.0	14.3	0.66	13.7	15.0	-1.30
Vince Carter	46	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	12	-18	14.6	14.8	-0.21	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Ryan Hollins	38	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	8	-10	16.0	13.8	2.19	14.7	14.0	0.63
Jarell Martin	9	9	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	16	-26	18.2	14.3	3.90	14.8	14.2	0.56

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	29	30	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-17	28	14.3	14.3	0.01	16.5	13.9	2.66
Chase Budinger	20	21	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.12	11	-17	28	13.7	14.4	-0.71	17.8	13.8	3.92
Tyson Chandler	25	26	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-7	8	15.5	13.9	1.67	14.2	14.8	-0.66
John Jenkins	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.30	10	-16	26	14.5	14.2	0.33	17.8	13.6	4.12
Mirza Teletovic	49	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-8	10	13.8	14.7	-0.85	15.6	13.9	1.61
Jon Leuer	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-4	2	14.0	14.7	-0.70	15.2	13.7	1.47
Alex Len	60	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	7	-20	14.4	14.1	0.24	13.7	16.2	-2.53
Brandon Knight	76	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	6	-18	14.4	14.0	0.36	13.7	17.4	-3.67
PJ Tucker	80	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.20	-17	11	-28	14.4	13.7	0.71	13.8	17.8	-3.92
Devin Booker	70	70	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.13	-21	15	-36	14.1	14.7	-0.61	13.8	16.8	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.47,0.55,0.67,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.68,0.46,0.83,0.73,0	90.0%
MEM 91, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.58,0	89.3%
PHI 92, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,0	89.3%