NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	100		Excitement	8.5 [202]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +36.6%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	4.2 [554]		LVP	Ersan Ilyasova (ORL): -19.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.37,0.37	0.16	0.20	-0.00	10	81%	0.38	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Devyn Marble	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	19	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.05
Aaron Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Elfrid Payton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	29%	-0.02	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	-0.01	13	36%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.01	15	59%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	10	59%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	16	52%	0.15	3	-0.08	16	81%	0.04
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	15	45%	-0.04	3	-0.09	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	31.5	15.4	26.9	2.6	39.5	145.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -13.3%

TOR +15.3%

TOR +37.5%

TOR +7.9%

TOR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	14.9	104.2	109.4	105.1
season	14.6	16.1		103.6	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	13.8	14.5	15.4	14.1
TOR	15.3	16.2	15.5	16.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devyn Marble	25	25	0.27	-0.77	1.03	-0.09	12	-17	29	13.6	14.3	-0.78	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Aaron Gordon	38	38	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.16	0	-5	5	14.2	14.1	0.17	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Dewayne Dedmon	30	30	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-8	11	15.3	13.6	1.69	17.6	15.1	2.52
Jason Smith	18	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-5	5	12.9	14.4	-1.53	13.5	16.5	-2.99
Elfrid Payton	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	14.6	13.9	0.70	15.9	15.9	0.02
Mario Hezonja	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	1	-7	16.0	13.9	2.11	14.1	16.1	-2.00
Victor Oladipo	82	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-10	15	14.3	13.4	0.91	16.1	14.4	1.68
Brandon Jennings	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-3	1	13.9	14.6	-0.70	15.9	15.9	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	62	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-7	9	14.3	13.9	0.35	16.7	14.5	2.21
Andrew Nicholson	42	40	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.39	-15	10	-25	13.9	14.3	-0.41	16.1	15.7	0.40
Evan Fournier	76	77	-0.93	0.43	-1.35	-0.31	-21	16	-37	13.7	15.7	-1.98	15.3	18.2	-2.86

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	57	56	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-8	21	15.2	16.8	-1.57	14.0	14.3	-0.24
Terrence Ross	56	54	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-6	17	15.8	16.0	-0.19	14.1	14.2	-0.10
DeMar DeRozan	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	2	1	15.8	16.2	-0.42	14.3	13.6	0.66
Kyle Lowry	80	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	16.0	15.2	0.81	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Bismack Biyombo	71	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.47	-3	8	-11	16.1	15.3	0.74	14.4	13.4	0.96
Delon Wright	31	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	0	5	15.8	15.9	-0.13	14.6	13.9	0.73
Luis Scola	64	64	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	5	-5	16.2	15.2	1.06	14.0	14.5	-0.55
Norman Powell	46	48	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.14	-9	14	-23	15.9	15.8	0.13	13.8	14.5	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.54,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.89,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,1	90.6%
DEN 83, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.68,0.79,1,1,1	90.5%
MIN 87, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.78,0.74,1	90.4%