NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	2.9 [1226]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (BKN): +17.2%
Brooklyn Nets	131		Comeback	1.2 [1126]		LVP	Nerlens Noel (PHI): -6.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	-0.00	0.11	10	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	13	58%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	13	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	16	50%	-0.00	5	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.26	0.00	0.09	27	72%	0.21	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	0.00	0.10	9	86%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	9	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris McCullough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	17	47%	-0.00	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	36.0	14.6	24.4	2.3	31.6	134.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +27.1%

BKN +1.6%

BKN +9.3%

BKN +9.4%

BKN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BKN	NBA	PHI	BKN	NBA
this game	14.2	13.5	14.9	111.8	123.6	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		97.7	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.2		109.3	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	14.0	15.0	13.5	14.2
BKN	12.9	12.2	13.8	15.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ McConnell	45	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-25	33	12.7	15.4	-2.74	13.0	13.9	-0.84
Sonny Weems	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-18	19	14.4	14.2	0.21	12.7	13.7	-0.94
Elton Brand	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-10	3	14.2	14.2	0.02	11.4	14.3	-2.84
Kendall Marshall	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-8	-1	13.9	14.4	-0.50	13.8	13.3	0.51
Carl Landry	51	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-12	7	15.0	13.4	1.61	14.6	12.4	2.15
Isaiah Canaan	64	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-12	7	14.6	13.5	1.07	13.9	12.8	1.04
Nik Stauskas	68	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-8	-1	13.2	16.2	-2.97	13.3	14.0	-0.74
Hollis Thompson	69	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-1	-15	14.0	14.5	-0.52	13.3	13.9	-0.58
Nerlens Noel	61	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	2	-21	14.7	13.5	1.23	13.8	13.1	0.74
Ish Smith	62	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	7	-31	15.2	12.7	2.46	13.7	13.2	0.51

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.22	24	-7	31	14.1	11.6	2.56	14.4	13.5	0.95
Bojan Bogdanovic	81	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	-2	21	13.4	13.8	-0.38	14.6	12.8	1.78
Thaddeus Young	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.23	22	-5	27	14.5	11.8	2.71	15.0	12.7	2.30
Donald Sloan	52	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	3	11	13.3	13.7	-0.36	14.6	13.7	0.90
Wayne Ellington	33	34	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	5	7	14.1	13.2	0.84	16.0	13.3	2.66
Shane Larkin	54	51	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.07	3	14	-11	13.7	13.3	0.36	13.7	14.6	-0.90
Markel Brown	60	54	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	21	-25	12.3	15.0	-2.67	12.9	15.6	-2.74
Sergey Karasev	15	14	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	13	-9	9.8	14.1	-4.32	12.9	14.4	-1.47
Sean Kilpatrick	52	48	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	21	-25	14.2	12.8	1.45	13.2	15.1	-1.94
Chris McCullough	15	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	16	-15	12.8	13.6	-0.83	14.1	14.2	-0.14
Thomas Robinson	21	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	23	-29	12.0	13.9	-1.88	13.0	14.5	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
UTA 88, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
HOU 85, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.2%