inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 130 Excitement6.1 [614] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +53.4%
Orlando Magic 114 Comeback2.2 [848] LVPNikola Vucevic (ORL): -9.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.530,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.530.400.180.052793%0.685-0.141100%0.01
Marreese Speights0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.060.00878%0.161-0.022100%0.01
Andrew Bogut0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.00786%0.081-0.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.03-0.01948%0.071-0.02333%-0.02
Andre Iguodala0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.010.00545%0.041-0.031100%0.01
Brandon Rush0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ian Clark0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01440%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Leandro Barbosa-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00650%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Draymond Green-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.020.01757%0.085-0.12757%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.021045%-0.041-0.0300%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Fournier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.02-0.021269%0.212-0.075100%0.03
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.040.00367%0.0900.006100%0.04
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.021468%0.091-0.0100%0.00
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.001100%0.0600.004100%0.02
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02867%0.084-0.0820%-0.05
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devyn Marble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00550%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Victor Oladipo0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.021639%-0.0200.00450%-0.04
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01530%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.020.00542%0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Nikola Vucevic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.011745%0.055-0.14475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.428.315.324.82.027.4123.5
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +60.8%
ORL -4.8%
GSW +1.8%
ORL -7.5%
ORL -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWORLNBAGSWORLNBA
this game13.113.514.9122.6103.6105.1
season13.714.6112.3103.6
opponent14.915.1105.2102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW11.814.012.215.013.1
ORL12.213.713.015.713.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes73750.410.090.32-0.061601613.312.70.5914.311.92.45
Leandro Barbosa38400.400.100.290.10106412.413.5-1.1112.514.1-1.65
Andre Iguodala59600.370.130.240.05115613.213.10.1213.313.8-0.46
Stephen Curry78830.360.140.220.04115612.415.1-2.7312.915.4-2.44
Anderson Varejao33340.350.150.210.00124811.513.9-2.3512.514.0-1.44
Draymond Green73770.220.28-0.060.10412-812.614.4-1.7913.014.8-1.89
Marreese Speights23240.140.36-0.21-0.00511-614.312.81.5515.013.11.94
Shaun Livingston29300.140.36-0.220.05313-1015.712.23.4715.312.82.48
Klay Thompson64660.100.40-0.29-0.04511-613.512.60.9314.212.51.67
Andrew Bogut48490.000.50-0.490.00016-1613.712.70.9813.413.6-0.18
Brandon Rush440.000.50-0.50-0.03115-1414.013.10.9013.013.5-0.55
Kevon Looney440.000.50-0.50-0.03115-1414.013.10.9013.013.5-0.55
Ian Clark440.000.50-0.50-0.03115-1414.013.10.9013.013.5-0.55

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devyn Marble88-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-161615.213.41.8613.213.10.13
Dewayne Dedmon88-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-161615.213.41.8613.213.10.13
Andrew Nicholson88-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-161615.213.41.8613.213.10.13
Nikola Vucevic7270-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-131013.014.5-1.4913.212.90.28
Mario Hezonja3433-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-11613.813.40.4312.513.4-0.98
Aaron Gordon6866-0.16-0.340.17-0.08-3-131013.214.0-0.8413.612.41.22
CJ Watson3233-0.17-0.330.16-0.03-5-11613.713.50.2314.112.71.39
Victor Oladipo7167-0.18-0.320.13-0.04-5-11613.214.2-1.0513.113.2-0.16
Brandon Jennings2726-0.22-0.280.050.04-9-7-214.713.11.6113.812.90.90
Jason Smith2523-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-12-4-814.713.21.5413.113.1-0.06
Evan Fournier8985-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-6-413.513.7-0.1713.411.91.59
Ersan Ilyasova3937-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-14-2-1213.613.50.0612.113.7-1.57
Elfrid Payton6966-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.05-14-2-1213.114.3-1.2612.414.4-2.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 93, UTA 810.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.19,0.34,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%
NJN 89, CHH 800.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%
GSW 112, NOP 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,093.6%