NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	11.9 [14]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +21.8%
Miami Heat	101		Comeback	13.6 [104]		LVP	George Hill (IND): -23.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.15	0.01	13	62%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	5	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.05
Chase Budinger	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	-0.00	-0.06	17	18%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.22
Paul George	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2	0.08	-0.28	-0.01	24	56%	-0.04	3	-0.15	7	71%	-0.02
George Hill	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24	-0.17	-0.10	-0.03	7	6%	-0.16	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.04

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	17	60%	0.17	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	10	58%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.2,-0.34,0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.23	0.24	-0.01	21	31%	0.33	5	-0.31	10	80%	0.16
Beno Udrih	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	3	67%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	18	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.04
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.10	0.02	17	50%	-0.01	1	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	27.9	14.8	32.3	2.3	38.6	2.5	17.4	163.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +13.5%

MIA +23.4%

MIA +30.5%

IND -16.8%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.1	14.9	86.9	93.5	105.1
season	14.6	15.5		103.2	104.5
opponent	15.1	14.9		103.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.5	13.0	13.8	17.4	15.8	14.5
MIA	15.3	16.4	16.2	13.3	12.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	15	13	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.26	-1	-7	6	13.5	14.7	-1.22	16.5	14.9	1.68
Joe Young	35	35	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.14	-3	-5	2	15.0	14.3	0.72	15.3	14.9	0.41
Lavoy Allen	45	42	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.10	-3	-5	2	14.7	14.4	0.26	15.9	14.5	1.41
Jordan Hill	44	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.16	-7	-1	-6	14.8	14.3	0.52	15.7	14.7	1.02
Myles Turner	60	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-6	4	14.5	14.5	0.04	14.8	15.4	-0.54
Solomon Hill	33	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	15.3	14.2	1.10	15.8	14.7	1.06
Paul George	84	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	-2	-4	14.3	15.4	-1.17	14.6	16.7	-2.09
Monta Ellis	83	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	-2	-4	14.5	14.5	0.07	15.0	15.3	-0.36
George Hill	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.39	-6	-2	-4	14.1	15.4	-1.27	14.5	16.5	-2.04
Ian Mahinmi	61	65	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.62	-2	-6	4	14.5	14.5	0.02	14.9	15.3	-0.47

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justise Winslow	79	80	1.06	-0.56	1.63	0.21	29	-21	50	14.9	15.6	-0.76	14.7	14.0	0.74
Goran Dragic	83	83	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.21	20	-12	32	14.4	17.4	-2.99	15.0	12.7	2.38
Luol Deng	78	76	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	0	8	14.6	16.2	-1.62	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Dwyane Wade	83	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	0	8	14.2	17.9	-3.72	14.5	14.4	0.09
Hassan Whiteside	83	82	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.27	17	-9	26	14.7	16.4	-1.74	14.9	13.2	1.71
Gerald Green	37	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.46	-16	24	-40	16.0	14.6	1.38	14.4	14.6	-0.12
Josh McRoberts	41	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	10	-12	16.9	14.0	2.92	14.5	14.5	-0.00
Josh Richardson	19	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.00	-5	13	-18	17.2	14.6	2.54	12.9	14.8	-1.94
Amar'e Stoudemire	25	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.15	-11	19	-30	16.4	14.7	1.74	13.2	14.9	-1.71
Beno Udrih	12	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	16	-24	17.7	14.7	3.02	12.8	14.7	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.31,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.15,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, CHA 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.24,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.17,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.92,1	89.6%
NYK 102, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.89,0.98,1	88.7%
PHX 102, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.47,0.39,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.69,0.93,0.99,1	88.6%