NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	6.6 [518]		MVP	Doug McDermott (CHI): +45.2%
Chicago Bulls	116		Comeback	4.0 [101]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -15.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	10	57%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	14	69%	0.17	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.04	-0.00	18	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bismack Biyombo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
DeMar DeRozan	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	21	42%	-0.05	3	-0.11	10	90%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.27	0.18	-0.00	17	88%	0.45	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.07	0.04	20	62%	0.18	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	0.03	16	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	8	17%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	27.0	16.8	28.6	2.5	30.3	134.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.5%

TOR -3.5%

CHI +8.3%

CHI +2.9%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	14.9	107.1	117.2	105.1
season	16.1	14.8		107.2	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	13.0	15.0	16.1	14.5
CHI	14.4	13.2	12.7	19.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	33	34	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-12	14	14.2	14.7	-0.48	13.3	15.3	-1.97
Luis Scola	34	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	-5	0	13.8	14.9	-1.08	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Anthony Bennett	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-5	0	15.9	14.3	1.55	11.9	14.9	-2.99
Jonas Valanciunas	65	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-12	14	14.7	14.2	0.50	14.9	14.0	0.94
DeMar DeRozan	82	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-9	8	14.2	15.8	-1.52	14.7	13.8	0.92
Cory Joseph	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	14.5	14.6	-0.11	16.0	12.9	3.10
Patrick Patterson	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-10	10	14.7	14.3	0.42	15.4	13.5	1.94
Kyle Lowry	76	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	15.1	12.6	2.53	14.4	15.2	-0.77
Bismack Biyombo	33	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	2	-14	14.6	14.5	0.15	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Terrence Ross	52	51	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	6	-22	14.0	15.0	-0.98	13.9	15.4	-1.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	64	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-5	20	14.8	14.2	0.64	14.1	15.2	-1.08
E'Twaun Moore	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-5	20	14.6	14.7	-0.10	15.4	12.4	2.97
Bobby Portis	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	2	6	14.9	14.3	0.57	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Cristiano Felicio	29	30	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-2	14	15.1	14.4	0.78	13.9	14.8	-0.87
Derrick Rose	73	72	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	6	-2	14.2	15.8	-1.60	14.4	14.9	-0.48
Mike Dunleavy	49	48	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	6	-2	14.5	14.7	-0.15	14.4	14.6	-0.13
Pau Gasol	67	66	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	6	-2	14.2	15.4	-1.17	14.9	13.7	1.21
Aaron Brooks	26	27	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	4	2	15.8	14.2	1.60	14.9	14.4	0.48
Taj Gibson	49	50	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.17	-11	21	-32	14.2	15.0	-0.76	15.1	13.9	1.24
Tony Snell	22	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	17	-24	14.8	14.5	0.30	12.3	15.2	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.39,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 91, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.1%
CLE 96, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.62,0.9,0.98,1,1	91.9%
MIN 105, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1	91.5%